Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet disruptions in 2026, including an initial multi-week blackout from early January amid economic protests and a longer 88-day shutdown beginning late February that coincided with U.S. and Israeli military actions. Connectivity dropped to roughly 1% of normal levels during these periods, with partial restoration ordered in late May after record duration and significant economic damage. Government strategies have included BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, whitelisting via the National Information Network, and targeted blocks on circumvention tools like VPNs and Starlink. Ongoing geopolitical frictions, domestic unrest risks, and reported plans for stricter “digital isolation” continue to shape expectations around future total blackouts, while restoration timelines and verification of full versus limited access remain key resolution factors for related markets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$245,757 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
25%
December 31
28%
$245,757 Vol.
September 30
$4,910 Vol.
25%
December 31
$11,396 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet disruptions in 2026, including an initial multi-week blackout from early January amid economic protests and a longer 88-day shutdown beginning late February that coincided with U.S. and Israeli military actions. Connectivity dropped to roughly 1% of normal levels during these periods, with partial restoration ordered in late May after record duration and significant economic damage. Government strategies have included BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, whitelisting via the National Information Network, and targeted blocks on circumvention tools like VPNs and Starlink. Ongoing geopolitical frictions, domestic unrest risks, and reported plans for stricter “digital isolation” continue to shape expectations around future total blackouts, while restoration timelines and verification of full versus limited access remain key resolution factors for related markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$245,757শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet disruptions in 2026, including an initial multi-week blackout from early January amid economic protests and a longer 88-day shutdown beginning late February that coincided with U.S. and Israeli military actions. Connectivity dropped to roughly 1% of normal levels during these periods, with partial restoration ordered in late May after record duration and significant economic damage. Government strategies have included BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, whitelisting via the National Information Network, and targeted blocks on circumvention tools like VPNs and Starlink. Ongoing geopolitical frictions, domestic unrest risks, and reported plans for stricter “digital isolation” continue to shape expectations around future total blackouts, while restoration timelines and verification of full versus limited access remain key resolution factors for related markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$245,757শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet disruptions in 2026, including an initial multi-week blackout from early January amid economic protests and a longer 88-day shutdown beginning late February that coincided with U.S. and Israeli military actions. Connectivity dropped to roughly 1% of normal levels during these periods, with partial restoration ordered in late May after record duration and significant economic damage. Government strategies have included BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, whitelisting via the National Information Network, and targeted blocks on circumvention tools like VPNs and Starlink. Ongoing geopolitical frictions, domestic unrest risks, and reported plans for stricter “digital isolation” continue to shape expectations around future total blackouts, while restoration timelines and verification of full versus limited access remain key resolution factors for related markets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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