Recent polling averages and seat projections from models like 338Canada place the Parti Québécois in a strong position to secure the most seats in the October 5 election, driven by consistent leads among francophone voters and a fragmented opposition. The CAQ has seen some erosion in support amid campaign dynamics and mixed results in late surveys, including a commissioned poll showing a narrow CAQ edge, while the PLQ has gained ground in urban areas. Traders assign the PQ an overwhelming implied probability of winning a plurality, reflecting its polling stability near 28-29 percent against the CAQ’s lower-20s range, though a minority outcome remains the most likely scenario. Upcoming leaders’ debates could still shift momentum among undecided voters.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডকুইবেক সাধারণ নির্বাচনের বিজয়ী
কুইবেক সাধারণ নির্বাচনের বিজয়ী
পি.কিউ. 83%
CAQ 16%
PLQ 3.3%
পিসকিউ <1%
$928,521 Vol.
$928,521 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
পি.কিউ.
83%
CAQ
16%
PLQ
3%
পিসকিউ
<1%
কিউএস
<1%
পিভিকিউ
<1%
পি.কিউ. 83%
CAQ 16%
PLQ 3.3%
পিসকিউ <1%
$928,521 Vol.
$928,521 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
পি.কিউ.
$133,012 Vol.
83%
CAQ
$142,111 Vol.
16%
PLQ
$138,639 Vol.
3%
পিসকিউ
$250,714 Vol.
<1%
কিউএস
$106,523 Vol.
<1%
পিভিকিউ
$157,522 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages and seat projections from models like 338Canada place the Parti Québécois in a strong position to secure the most seats in the October 5 election, driven by consistent leads among francophone voters and a fragmented opposition. The CAQ has seen some erosion in support amid campaign dynamics and mixed results in late surveys, including a commissioned poll showing a narrow CAQ edge, while the PLQ has gained ground in urban areas. Traders assign the PQ an overwhelming implied probability of winning a plurality, reflecting its polling stability near 28-29 percent against the CAQ’s lower-20s range, though a minority outcome remains the most likely scenario. Upcoming leaders’ debates could still shift momentum among undecided voters.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$928,521শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages and seat projections from models like 338Canada place the Parti Québécois in a strong position to secure the most seats in the October 5 election, driven by consistent leads among francophone voters and a fragmented opposition. The CAQ has seen some erosion in support amid campaign dynamics and mixed results in late surveys, including a commissioned poll showing a narrow CAQ edge, while the PLQ has gained ground in urban areas. Traders assign the PQ an overwhelming implied probability of winning a plurality, reflecting its polling stability near 28-29 percent against the CAQ’s lower-20s range, though a minority outcome remains the most likely scenario. Upcoming leaders’ debates could still shift momentum among undecided voters.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ভলিউম
$928,521শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages and seat projections from models like 338Canada place the Parti Québécois in a strong position to secure the most seats in the October 5 election, driven by consistent leads among francophone voters and a fragmented opposition. The CAQ has seen some erosion in support amid campaign dynamics and mixed results in late surveys, including a commissioned poll showing a narrow CAQ edge, while the PLQ has gained ground in urban areas. Traders assign the PQ an overwhelming implied probability of winning a plurality, reflecting its polling stability near 28-29 percent against the CAQ’s lower-20s range, though a minority outcome remains the most likely scenario. Upcoming leaders’ debates could still shift momentum among undecided voters.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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