The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the court-ordered unseating of former MP Semisi Sika over electoral bribery and expense breaches from the 2025 general election, which also barred him from running again. Nine candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, creating a fragmented field that includes several independents with local ties across Kolofo’ou, Haveluloto, and nearby villages. Trader consensus reflects the lack of a single frontrunner, with vote-splitting likely under first-past-the-post rules and limited polling available. Developments such as candidate withdrawals, village-level endorsements, or turnout patterns in key polling areas could consolidate support and shift implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSamiuela Vea 44%
Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 41%
Lei Paasi 36%
Alvin Lafu Sika 35%
Samiuela Vea
44%
Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki
41%
Lei Paasi
36%
Alvin Lafu Sika
35%
Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi
26%
Sione Harvard Tupouniua
25%
'Olioni Manoa
24%
'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila
24%
Mounu Uaisele
8%
Samiuela Vea 44%
Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 41%
Lei Paasi 36%
Alvin Lafu Sika 35%
Samiuela Vea
44%
Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki
41%
Lei Paasi
36%
Alvin Lafu Sika
35%
Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi
26%
Sione Harvard Tupouniua
25%
'Olioni Manoa
24%
'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila
24%
Mounu Uaisele
8%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, follows the court-ordered unseating of former MP Semisi Sika over electoral bribery and expense breaches from the 2025 general election, which also barred him from running again. Nine candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, creating a fragmented field that includes several independents with local ties across Kolofo’ou, Haveluloto, and nearby villages. Trader consensus reflects the lack of a single frontrunner, with vote-splitting likely under first-past-the-post rules and limited polling available. Developments such as candidate withdrawals, village-level endorsements, or turnout patterns in key polling areas could consolidate support and shift implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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