North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026: single launches on August 6 and August 12 from the Wonsan area, followed by a barrage of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These actions coincided with the shortened Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises and U.S. President Trump’s public signals favoring renewed diplomacy with Kim Jong-un. With only days remaining in the month and no additional launches reported since August 20, trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the highest probability to fewer than four total tests. The modest shares for exactly four or five tests incorporate the possibility of limited additional activity tied to ongoing regional tensions or diplomatic signals, while the low probability assigned to six or more reflects the brief remaining window and recent de-escalatory gestures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
<4 57%
4 31.1%
5 8%
6+ 5.2%
$20,887 Vol.
$20,887 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<4
57%
4
31%
5
8%
6+
5%
<4 57%
4 31.1%
5 8%
6+ 5.2%
$20,887 Vol.
$20,887 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<4
$2,501 Vol.
57%
4
$632 Vol.
31%
5
$247 Vol.
8%
6+
$17,506 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026: single launches on August 6 and August 12 from the Wonsan area, followed by a barrage of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These actions coincided with the shortened Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises and U.S. President Trump’s public signals favoring renewed diplomacy with Kim Jong-un. With only days remaining in the month and no additional launches reported since August 20, trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the highest probability to fewer than four total tests. The modest shares for exactly four or five tests incorporate the possibility of limited additional activity tied to ongoing regional tensions or diplomatic signals, while the low probability assigned to six or more reflects the brief remaining window and recent de-escalatory gestures.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
ভলিউম
$20,887শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026: single launches on August 6 and August 12 from the Wonsan area, followed by a barrage of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These actions coincided with the shortened Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises and U.S. President Trump’s public signals favoring renewed diplomacy with Kim Jong-un. With only days remaining in the month and no additional launches reported since August 20, trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the highest probability to fewer than four total tests. The modest shares for exactly four or five tests incorporate the possibility of limited additional activity tied to ongoing regional tensions or diplomatic signals, while the low probability assigned to six or more reflects the brief remaining window and recent de-escalatory gestures.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
ভলিউম
$20,887শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 21, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted three distinct ballistic missile test events in August 2026: single launches on August 6 and August 12 from the Wonsan area, followed by a barrage of roughly ten short-range missiles from the Pyongyang region on August 20. These actions coincided with the shortened Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises and U.S. President Trump’s public signals favoring renewed diplomacy with Kim Jong-un. With only days remaining in the month and no additional launches reported since August 20, trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the highest probability to fewer than four total tests. The modest shares for exactly four or five tests incorporate the possibility of limited additional activity tied to ongoing regional tensions or diplomatic signals, while the low probability assigned to six or more reflects the brief remaining window and recent de-escalatory gestures.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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