**Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, corroborated by sources such as Yr.no and WeatherBug, point to an overnight low near 23–26°C for Wuhan on September 13, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 3–6 m/s, and moderate humidity around 50–60% that limits radiative cooling.** This places the expected minimum well above the 19°C or 18°C thresholds dominating market-implied odds. Key differentiating factors include model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if winds calm further, and urban heat-island effects that typically add 1–2°C in the city center. Recent warm advection from the south has kept the air mass elevated, but any unexpected increase in cloud cover or moisture could trim the low by a degree or two. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings tonight will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 13?
15°C or below 91%
18°C 91%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
15°C or below
91%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
91%
19°C
-
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 91%
18°C 91%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
15°C or below
91%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
91%
19°C
-
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF, corroborated by sources such as Yr.no and WeatherBug, point to an overnight low near 23–26°C for Wuhan on September 13, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 3–6 m/s, and moderate humidity around 50–60% that limits radiative cooling.** This places the expected minimum well above the 19°C or 18°C thresholds dominating market-implied odds. Key differentiating factors include model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling if winds calm further, and urban heat-island effects that typically add 1–2°C in the city center. Recent warm advection from the south has kept the air mass elevated, but any unexpected increase in cloud cover or moisture could trim the low by a degree or two. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings tonight will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা