Official observations from National Weather Service stations such as Central Park and LaGuardia recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 17, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligned closely with pre-event NWS and model guidance projecting mild overnight conditions near seasonal norms without strong cold advection or clear, calm radiational cooling. The market’s 100% implied probability on the 70–71°F bin reflects trader consensus on verified station data resolving the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of drier continental air or sharper-than-expected nocturnal cooling dropping readings into the upper 60s before dawn, though guidance showed low odds of such shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 17?
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$18,410 Vol.
$18,410 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$18,410 Vol.
$18,410 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from National Weather Service stations such as Central Park and LaGuardia recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 17, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligned closely with pre-event NWS and model guidance projecting mild overnight conditions near seasonal norms without strong cold advection or clear, calm radiational cooling. The market’s 100% implied probability on the 70–71°F bin reflects trader consensus on verified station data resolving the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of drier continental air or sharper-than-expected nocturnal cooling dropping readings into the upper 60s before dawn, though guidance showed low odds of such shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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