Recent forecast models from major ensembles indicate maximum temperatures in Chengdu on August 18 clustered near 23–24°C, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge combined with monsoon moisture that sustains widespread cloud cover and intermittent rainfall, suppressing boundary-layer heating. The Sichuan Basin’s topography further limits daytime warming through trapped moisture and reduced solar insolation. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (63.5% implied probability) and 24°C (30.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest afternoon peaks relative to typical August climatology. Updated model runs through the morning continue to favor this narrow range, with limited upside potential absent rapid clearing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
23°C 64%
24°C 32%
25°C 6%
26°C 1.1%
$46,702 Vol.
$46,702 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
64%
24°C
32%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 64%
24°C 32%
25°C 6%
26°C 1.1%
$46,702 Vol.
$46,702 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
64%
24°C
32%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from major ensembles indicate maximum temperatures in Chengdu on August 18 clustered near 23–24°C, driven by a persistent subtropical ridge combined with monsoon moisture that sustains widespread cloud cover and intermittent rainfall, suppressing boundary-layer heating. The Sichuan Basin’s topography further limits daytime warming through trapped moisture and reduced solar insolation. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (63.5% implied probability) and 24°C (30.5%), reflecting trader consensus on modest afternoon peaks relative to typical August climatology. Updated model runs through the morning continue to favor this narrow range, with limited upside potential absent rapid clearing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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