Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus position the overnight low near 28°C for August 18 amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity of 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This range aligns with August climatology showing average lows of 26–28°C, reinforced by the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming and current ENSO conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28°C because minor shifts in shower timing or localized cloud cover can alter the official minimum by 1°C at the reference station, with the market-implied 79% probability for that outcome reflecting aggregated assessments of these variables ahead of final resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
27°C 19%
26°C 5%
25°C 2.5%
23°C or below <1%
নতুন
$28,105 Vol.
নতুন
$28,105 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
32%
28°C
61%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 19%
26°C 5%
25°C 2.5%
23°C or below <1%
নতুন
$28,105 Vol.
নতুন
$28,105 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,990 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,633 Vol.
3%
26°C
$3,301 Vol.
5%
27°C
$5,320 Vol.
32%
28°C
$4,613 Vol.
61%
29°C
$5,370 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$715 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus position the overnight low near 28°C for August 18 amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity of 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This range aligns with August climatology showing average lows of 26–28°C, reinforced by the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming and current ENSO conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28°C because minor shifts in shower timing or localized cloud cover can alter the official minimum by 1°C at the reference station, with the market-implied 79% probability for that outcome reflecting aggregated assessments of these variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ভলিউম
$28,105শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus position the overnight low near 28°C for August 18 amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity of 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This range aligns with August climatology showing average lows of 26–28°C, reinforced by the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming and current ENSO conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28°C because minor shifts in shower timing or localized cloud cover can alter the official minimum by 1°C at the reference station, with the market-implied 79% probability for that outcome reflecting aggregated assessments of these variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$28,105শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus position the overnight low near 28°C for August 18 amid typical summer monsoon flow, high humidity of 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This range aligns with August climatology showing average lows of 26–28°C, reinforced by the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures driven by background climate warming and current ENSO conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28°C because minor shifts in shower timing or localized cloud cover can alter the official minimum by 1°C at the reference station, with the market-implied 79% probability for that outcome reflecting aggregated assessments of these variables ahead of final resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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