Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show Chicago's August 19 maximum temperature likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, with afternoon heating modulated by variable cloud cover, residual moisture, and weak frontal boundaries that limit strong warm advection. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across the 78–83°F bins, reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent cooler-than-average patterns and model consensus on modest instability support the observed trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official reporting stations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on August 19?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 19?
78-79°F 51%
84-85°F 50%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 19, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
50%
86°F or higher
4%
78-79°F 51%
84-85°F 50%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 19, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
51%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
26%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
50%
86°F or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show Chicago's August 19 maximum temperature likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, with afternoon heating modulated by variable cloud cover, residual moisture, and weak frontal boundaries that limit strong warm advection. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across the 78–83°F bins, reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent cooler-than-average patterns and model consensus on modest instability support the observed trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official reporting stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Aug 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show Chicago's August 19 maximum temperature likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, with afternoon heating modulated by variable cloud cover, residual moisture, and weak frontal boundaries that limit strong warm advection. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across the 78–83°F bins, reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent cooler-than-average patterns and model consensus on modest instability support the observed trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official reporting stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Aug 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models show Chicago's August 19 maximum temperature likely falling in the upper 70s to low 80s, with afternoon heating modulated by variable cloud cover, residual moisture, and weak frontal boundaries that limit strong warm advection. These conditions produce closely matched market-implied odds near 50% across the 78–83°F bins, reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single dominant outcome. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent cooler-than-average patterns and model consensus on modest instability support the observed trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official reporting stations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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