Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to a minimum temperature of 72–73°F for New York City on August 1, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Typical early-August climatology features overnight lows near 68–70°F, but recent guidance shows slightly elevated readings due to above-average seasonal warmth, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiational cooling in the urban environment. NOAA outlooks for the month lean warmer than normal, while daily models converge on a high near 85–87°F and low around 73°F, with low precipitation risk supporting stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh these model consensus and historical analogs against the chance of minor cooling if winds shift or cloud cover increases overnight. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 1?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 1?
72-73°F 67%
74-75°F 28%
70-71°F 20%
66-67°F 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 1, 2026
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
60%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 67%
74-75°F 28%
70-71°F 20%
66-67°F 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 1, 2026
61°F or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$274 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$322 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$416 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$528 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$188 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$644 Vol.
60%
74-75°F
$441 Vol.
28%
76-77°F
$74 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$143 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$48 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to a minimum temperature of 72–73°F for New York City on August 1, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Typical early-August climatology features overnight lows near 68–70°F, but recent guidance shows slightly elevated readings due to above-average seasonal warmth, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiational cooling in the urban environment. NOAA outlooks for the month lean warmer than normal, while daily models converge on a high near 85–87°F and low around 73°F, with low precipitation risk supporting stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh these model consensus and historical analogs against the chance of minor cooling if winds shift or cloud cover increases overnight. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,178শেষ তারিখ
Aug 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to a minimum temperature of 72–73°F for New York City on August 1, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Typical early-August climatology features overnight lows near 68–70°F, but recent guidance shows slightly elevated readings due to above-average seasonal warmth, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiational cooling in the urban environment. NOAA outlooks for the month lean warmer than normal, while daily models converge on a high near 85–87°F and low around 73°F, with low precipitation risk supporting stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh these model consensus and historical analogs against the chance of minor cooling if winds shift or cloud cover increases overnight. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$3,178শেষ তারিখ
Aug 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to a minimum temperature of 72–73°F for New York City on August 1, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Typical early-August climatology features overnight lows near 68–70°F, but recent guidance shows slightly elevated readings due to above-average seasonal warmth, clear skies, and light winds that limit radiational cooling in the urban environment. NOAA outlooks for the month lean warmer than normal, while daily models converge on a high near 85–87°F and low around 73°F, with low precipitation risk supporting stable conditions. Traders appear to weigh these model consensus and historical analogs against the chance of minor cooling if winds shift or cloud cover increases overnight. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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