Traders see near-even odds between 34°C and 35°C for Tokyo’s August 1 maximum because official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a peak in that narrow range amid typical midsummer conditions. Persistent high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and the urban heat-island effect support daytime warming, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms and a possible sea breeze introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August averages near 31°C with frequent 33–36°C readings provide context, yet the tight market spread underscores how small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction can decide the exact threshold on a single day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
35°C 53%
34°C 15%
36°C 12%
37°C 4%
$58,520 Vol.
$58,520 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
22%
35°C
53%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 53%
34°C 15%
36°C 12%
37°C 4%
$58,520 Vol.
$58,520 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
22%
35°C
53%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds between 34°C and 35°C for Tokyo’s August 1 maximum because official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models project a peak in that narrow range amid typical midsummer conditions. Persistent high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures, and the urban heat-island effect support daytime warming, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms and a possible sea breeze introduce uncertainty that can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August averages near 31°C with frequent 33–36°C readings provide context, yet the tight market spread underscores how small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction can decide the exact threshold on a single day.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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