The slow start to the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season—with only two named tropical storms (Arthur and Bertha) and zero hurricanes through early August—has anchored trader sentiment around below-normal activity. NOAA’s latest outlook assigns a 75% probability to a below-normal season, projecting 2–6 hurricanes (including the zero recorded so far) amid a strong El Niño that increases vertical wind shear and suppresses formation. Colorado State University similarly forecasts just four hurricanes for the full June–November period. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential El Niño decay, evolving sea-surface temperatures, and late-season steering patterns that could allow additional intensification before November 30, keeping the closely matched 1–3, 4–6, and 7+ ranges all plausible under official model consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
4-6 41%
1-3 35%
7+ 32%
0 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
0
6%
1-3
35%
4-6
35%
7+
32%
4-6 41%
1-3 35%
7+ 32%
0 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Dec 31, 2026
0
$79 Vol.
6%
1-3
$91 Vol.
35%
4-6
$316 Vol.
35%
7+
$10 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.The slow start to the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season—with only two named tropical storms (Arthur and Bertha) and zero hurricanes through early August—has anchored trader sentiment around below-normal activity. NOAA’s latest outlook assigns a 75% probability to a below-normal season, projecting 2–6 hurricanes (including the zero recorded so far) amid a strong El Niño that increases vertical wind shear and suppresses formation. Colorado State University similarly forecasts just four hurricanes for the full June–November period. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential El Niño decay, evolving sea-surface temperatures, and late-season steering patterns that could allow additional intensification before November 30, keeping the closely matched 1–3, 4–6, and 7+ ranges all plausible under official model consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
ভলিউম
$495শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.The slow start to the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season—with only two named tropical storms (Arthur and Bertha) and zero hurricanes through early August—has anchored trader sentiment around below-normal activity. NOAA’s latest outlook assigns a 75% probability to a below-normal season, projecting 2–6 hurricanes (including the zero recorded so far) amid a strong El Niño that increases vertical wind shear and suppresses formation. Colorado State University similarly forecasts just four hurricanes for the full June–November period. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential El Niño decay, evolving sea-surface temperatures, and late-season steering patterns that could allow additional intensification before November 30, keeping the closely matched 1–3, 4–6, and 7+ ranges all plausible under official model consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
ভলিউম
$495শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The slow start to the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season—with only two named tropical storms (Arthur and Bertha) and zero hurricanes through early August—has anchored trader sentiment around below-normal activity. NOAA’s latest outlook assigns a 75% probability to a below-normal season, projecting 2–6 hurricanes (including the zero recorded so far) amid a strong El Niño that increases vertical wind shear and suppresses formation. Colorado State University similarly forecasts just four hurricanes for the full June–November period. Remaining uncertainty stems from potential El Niño decay, evolving sea-surface temperatures, and late-season steering patterns that could allow additional intensification before November 30, keeping the closely matched 1–3, 4–6, and 7+ ranges all plausible under official model consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা