Recent forecasts from multiple models, including consensus outputs aligned with ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Warsaw on September 21 amid widespread showers, strong westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This cooler air mass following Sunday's transition has suppressed temperatures below recent seasonal norms, positioning 15°C as the leading outcome with 52.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of projections around 14–16°C while noting residual model spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution. Updated high-resolution runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings in the coming day could shift sentiment if conditions trend warmer or cooler than currently expected.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
15°C 58%
16°C 26%
14°C 16%
13°C 16%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
16%
15°C
53%
16°C
26%
17°C
10%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 58%
16°C 26%
14°C 16%
13°C 16%
10°C or below
2%
11°C
5%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
16%
15°C
53%
16°C
26%
17°C
10%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including consensus outputs aligned with ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 15°C in Warsaw on September 21 amid widespread showers, strong westerly winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This cooler air mass following Sunday's transition has suppressed temperatures below recent seasonal norms, positioning 15°C as the leading outcome with 52.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of projections around 14–16°C while noting residual model spread and potential for minor revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution. Updated high-resolution runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings in the coming day could shift sentiment if conditions trend warmer or cooler than currently expected.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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