Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong subtropical high, have kept Seoul-area daytime maxima near 30–32°C through mid-August, with AccuWeather and KMA guidance pointing to a similar range for August 20 amid lingering humidity and possible morning showers. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 29°C and 30°C reflects ensemble uncertainty in short-range models over the precise balance of solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any sea-breeze moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea at Incheon. Slight differences in cloud timing or wind shifts can readily move the peak by 1°C, while lower probabilities for 31°C or above acknowledge the cooling influence of increased humidity and potential weak frontal activity.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
29°C 49%
30°C 34%
28°C 12%
31°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
49%
30°C
34%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 49%
30°C 34%
28°C 12%
31°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
49%
30°C
34%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong subtropical high, have kept Seoul-area daytime maxima near 30–32°C through mid-August, with AccuWeather and KMA guidance pointing to a similar range for August 20 amid lingering humidity and possible morning showers. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 29°C and 30°C reflects ensemble uncertainty in short-range models over the precise balance of solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any sea-breeze moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea at Incheon. Slight differences in cloud timing or wind shifts can readily move the peak by 1°C, while lower probabilities for 31°C or above acknowledge the cooling influence of increased humidity and potential weak frontal activity.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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