Latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus for August 6, 2026, center on a high near 83°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, yet the closely matched 42.5% implied probability for 88–89°F versus 37.5% for 90–91°F reflects trader assessment of urban heat island amplification at Central Park plus minor afternoon convective timing or reduced mixing. Key differentiators include exact peak insolation under the ridge, boundary-layer moisture suppressing or enhancing surface heating by 1–3°F, and any sea-breeze onset that could cap the maximum. Above-average August temperatures favored by Climate Prediction Center outlooks add slight upward bias, while historical August normals near 83°F underscore the narrow window separating the leading bins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 6?
88-89°F 43%
90-91°F 40%
86-87°F 11%
92-93°F 9%
$20,906 Vol.
$20,906 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 43%
90-91°F 40%
86-87°F 11%
92-93°F 9%
$20,906 Vol.
$20,906 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
40%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and model consensus for August 6, 2026, center on a high near 83°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow, yet the closely matched 42.5% implied probability for 88–89°F versus 37.5% for 90–91°F reflects trader assessment of urban heat island amplification at Central Park plus minor afternoon convective timing or reduced mixing. Key differentiators include exact peak insolation under the ridge, boundary-layer moisture suppressing or enhancing surface heating by 1–3°F, and any sea-breeze onset that could cap the maximum. Above-average August temperatures favored by Climate Prediction Center outlooks add slight upward bias, while historical August normals near 83°F underscore the narrow window separating the leading bins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা