Forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models points to a Moscow high of 22–23°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology for the date, where daily maxima historically range 20–24°C with modest solar input and variable cloud cover. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 22°C and 23°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows little potential for stronger warming or cooling, while probabilities above 24°C remain minimal absent unexpected clear skies or advection changes. Updated model runs and official observations in the hours before resolution will determine the final recorded maximum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
22°C 55%
23°C 41%
24°C 5%
21°C 3%
$13,816 Vol.
$13,816 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
55%
23°C
41%
24°C
5%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 55%
23°C 41%
24°C 5%
21°C 3%
$13,816 Vol.
$13,816 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
55%
23°C
41%
24°C
5%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS models points to a Moscow high of 22–23°C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology for the date, where daily maxima historically range 20–24°C with modest solar input and variable cloud cover. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 22°C and 23°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows little potential for stronger warming or cooling, while probabilities above 24°C remain minimal absent unexpected clear skies or advection changes. Updated model runs and official observations in the hours before resolution will determine the final recorded maximum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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