Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18 under sunny to partly cloudy skies, directly supporting the market's leading outcomes clustered around 30 °C (39 % implied probability). Mid-August subtropical high pressure combined with peak solar insolation drives these readings, while Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes plus possible light northerly flow introduce 1–2 °C variability through afternoon boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these factors against historical August averages near 28–30 °C, with latest model runs providing the primary near-term catalyst ahead of final overnight updates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
30°C 39%
29°C 25%
31°C 25%
28°C 8%
$27,153 Vol.
$27,153 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
39%
31°C
25%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 39%
29°C 25%
31°C 25%
28°C 8%
$27,153 Vol.
$27,153 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
39%
31°C
25%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a maximum of 29–31 °C for Istanbul on August 18 under sunny to partly cloudy skies, directly supporting the market's leading outcomes clustered around 30 °C (39 % implied probability). Mid-August subtropical high pressure combined with peak solar insolation drives these readings, while Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes plus possible light northerly flow introduce 1–2 °C variability through afternoon boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these factors against historical August averages near 28–30 °C, with latest model runs providing the primary near-term catalyst ahead of final overnight updates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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