Forecasts from Spain’s AEMET, BBC Weather, and Met Office models converge on a Madrid maximum of 36–38 °C on August 17 under a stable anticyclone, light northeasterly flow, and clear skies that enhance solar heating while limiting mixing. This narrow band, combined with the day’s proximity to resolution, has driven near-certain market-implied odds on 38 °C. Official observations will use standardized station data at 1.5–2 m height, where small variations in timing or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded peak. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could cap temperatures nearer 36 °C, while any model underestimation of surface heating might allow brief spikes toward 39 °C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 17?
38°C 99.8%
39°C <1%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
$87,484 Vol.
$87,484 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
100%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 99.8%
39°C <1%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
$87,484 Vol.
$87,484 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
100%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Spain’s AEMET, BBC Weather, and Met Office models converge on a Madrid maximum of 36–38 °C on August 17 under a stable anticyclone, light northeasterly flow, and clear skies that enhance solar heating while limiting mixing. This narrow band, combined with the day’s proximity to resolution, has driven near-certain market-implied odds on 38 °C. Official observations will use standardized station data at 1.5–2 m height, where small variations in timing or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded peak. An unexpected increase in cloud cover or stronger winds could cap temperatures nearer 36 °C, while any model underestimation of surface heating might allow brief spikes toward 39 °C.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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