Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms across Metro Manila are suppressing daytime heating on August 18, positioning 28°C as the leading market outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Official PAGASA observations and forecasts indicate recent maxima near 27.8–28.4°C under overcast skies, well below the seasonal August average high of 30–31°C. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud layers limits surface warming, while high humidity and rainfall further moderate temperature rise. Trader consensus clusters on 27–29°C ranges as model guidance and real-time conditions point to limited intensification potential before peak heating. Updated NHC-equivalent regional forecasts and PAGASA bulletins through the afternoon will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Manila on August 18?
28°C 64%
29°C 29%
30°C 6%
31°C <1%
$21,430 Vol.
$21,430 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
64%
29°C
29%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 64%
29°C 29%
30°C 6%
31°C <1%
$21,430 Vol.
$21,430 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
64%
29°C
29%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms across Metro Manila are suppressing daytime heating on August 18, positioning 28°C as the leading market outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Official PAGASA observations and forecasts indicate recent maxima near 27.8–28.4°C under overcast skies, well below the seasonal August average high of 30–31°C. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud layers limits surface warming, while high humidity and rainfall further moderate temperature rise. Trader consensus clusters on 27–29°C ranges as model guidance and real-time conditions point to limited intensification potential before peak heating. Updated NHC-equivalent regional forecasts and PAGASA bulletins through the afternoon will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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