Recent extended forecasts from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory point to daytime maxima near 30–32°C on August 20 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and a chance of showers that can limit solar heating and cap afternoon peaks. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by steering flows and localized convection, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. Historical August baselines for the region average 31°C, supporting the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes while underscoring sensitivity to any shift in cloud cover or rainfall timing. Updated numerical guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20?
31°C 31%
32°C 30%
30°C 24%
33°C 17%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
31%
32°C
30%
33°C
17%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 31%
32°C 30%
30°C 24%
33°C 17%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
31%
32°C
30%
33°C
17%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent extended forecasts from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory point to daytime maxima near 30–32°C on August 20 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with high humidity and a chance of showers that can limit solar heating and cap afternoon peaks. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by steering flows and localized convection, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values rather than extremes. Historical August baselines for the region average 31°C, supporting the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes while underscoring sensitivity to any shift in cloud cover or rainfall timing. Updated numerical guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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