Trader consensus centers on 32–33°C for Hong Kong’s August 16 maximum, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model runs showing typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions with mean maxima near 32–33°C so far this month. High humidity, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover can suppress daytime peaks by limiting insolation, while urban heat-island effects and any developing El Niño-related warmth may nudge readings slightly higher. Resolution hinges on the official Observatory measurement at the reference station; updated short-range forecasts and any typhoon-related steering changes over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
32°C 29%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
34°C 19%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
20%
32°C
29%
33°C
29%
34°C
19%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 29%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
34°C 19%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
20%
32°C
29%
33°C
29%
34°C
19%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 32–33°C for Hong Kong’s August 16 maximum, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance and model runs showing typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions with mean maxima near 32–33°C so far this month. High humidity, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover can suppress daytime peaks by limiting insolation, while urban heat-island effects and any developing El Niño-related warmth may nudge readings slightly higher. Resolution hinges on the official Observatory measurement at the reference station; updated short-range forecasts and any typhoon-related steering changes over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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