Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's high on August 4 will likely reach the long-term climatological average of 83.7°F under mostly sunny skies and light winds, positioning the 82–85°F range as the market leader with combined implied probability near 70%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with no significant warm or cool advection expected to alter the typical mid-summer thermal setup. Historical data confirm early August highs rarely exceed 87°F or fall below 80°F without synoptic shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow bins ahead of final observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
84-85°F 49%
86-87°F 22%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 3%
নতুন
$16,722 Vol.
নতুন
$16,722 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 49%
86-87°F 22%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 3%
নতুন
$16,722 Vol.
নতুন
$16,722 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
$533 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$476 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,300 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,499 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$2,919 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$2,447 Vol.
49%
86-87°F
$1,491 Vol.
22%
88-89°F
$2,152 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$1,670 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$593 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$643 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's high on August 4 will likely reach the long-term climatological average of 83.7°F under mostly sunny skies and light winds, positioning the 82–85°F range as the market leader with combined implied probability near 70%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with no significant warm or cool advection expected to alter the typical mid-summer thermal setup. Historical data confirm early August highs rarely exceed 87°F or fall below 80°F without synoptic shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow bins ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$16,722শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's high on August 4 will likely reach the long-term climatological average of 83.7°F under mostly sunny skies and light winds, positioning the 82–85°F range as the market leader with combined implied probability near 70%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with no significant warm or cool advection expected to alter the typical mid-summer thermal setup. Historical data confirm early August highs rarely exceed 87°F or fall below 80°F without synoptic shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow bins ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$16,722শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Chicago's high on August 4 will likely reach the long-term climatological average of 83.7°F under mostly sunny skies and light winds, positioning the 82–85°F range as the market leader with combined implied probability near 70%. Recent ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with no significant warm or cool advection expected to alter the typical mid-summer thermal setup. Historical data confirm early August highs rarely exceed 87°F or fall below 80°F without synoptic shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow bins ahead of final observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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