Ongoing US-Iran military operations have included strikes on Hengam and nearby islands such as Kharg and Greater Tunb since mid-2026, targeting IRGC coastal defenses and infrastructure in the Strait of Hormuz without establishing alternative control. Iran has reinforced garrisons, conducted drills, and asserted sovereignty through official statements and deployments. Recent Oman-mediated talks produced an August 25 interim framework for navigation corridors and mine-clearing coordination, preserving Iranian primary authority over the waterway and islands. Trader consensus assigns low implied probability to loss of control by late August or September deadlines because no occupation, seizure by another state, or internationally backed authority has occurred, and resolution hinges on verifiable shifts in governmental or military administration rather than temporary strikes or pollution incidents.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$121,949 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$121,949 Vol.
August 31
$94,401 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military operations have included strikes on Hengam and nearby islands such as Kharg and Greater Tunb since mid-2026, targeting IRGC coastal defenses and infrastructure in the Strait of Hormuz without establishing alternative control. Iran has reinforced garrisons, conducted drills, and asserted sovereignty through official statements and deployments. Recent Oman-mediated talks produced an August 25 interim framework for navigation corridors and mine-clearing coordination, preserving Iranian primary authority over the waterway and islands. Trader consensus assigns low implied probability to loss of control by late August or September deadlines because no occupation, seizure by another state, or internationally backed authority has occurred, and resolution hinges on verifiable shifts in governmental or military administration rather than temporary strikes or pollution incidents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$121,949শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military operations have included strikes on Hengam and nearby islands such as Kharg and Greater Tunb since mid-2026, targeting IRGC coastal defenses and infrastructure in the Strait of Hormuz without establishing alternative control. Iran has reinforced garrisons, conducted drills, and asserted sovereignty through official statements and deployments. Recent Oman-mediated talks produced an August 25 interim framework for navigation corridors and mine-clearing coordination, preserving Iranian primary authority over the waterway and islands. Trader consensus assigns low implied probability to loss of control by late August or September deadlines because no occupation, seizure by another state, or internationally backed authority has occurred, and resolution hinges on verifiable shifts in governmental or military administration rather than temporary strikes or pollution incidents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$121,949শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military operations have included strikes on Hengam and nearby islands such as Kharg and Greater Tunb since mid-2026, targeting IRGC coastal defenses and infrastructure in the Strait of Hormuz without establishing alternative control. Iran has reinforced garrisons, conducted drills, and asserted sovereignty through official statements and deployments. Recent Oman-mediated talks produced an August 25 interim framework for navigation corridors and mine-clearing coordination, preserving Iranian primary authority over the waterway and islands. Trader consensus assigns low implied probability to loss of control by late August or September deadlines because no occupation, seizure by another state, or internationally backed authority has occurred, and resolution hinges on verifiable shifts in governmental or military administration rather than temporary strikes or pollution incidents.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা