Unofficial, read-only viewer. Odds from Polymarket's public data, only for viewing where Polymarket is blocked. Not affiliated with Polymarket. No accounts, deposits or trading here.
World prediction market odds Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? — Gadi Eizenkot 46%, Benjamin Netanyahu 36%, Naftali Bennett 10%, Avigdor Lieberman 2%US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? — March 31 72%, December 31 53%, November 30 34%, October 31 22%Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? — Yes 2%, No 98%Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — Yes 16%, No 84%US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? — October 5 99%, October 7 97%, October 9 95%, October 12 91%Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 — Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 16%, Save the Children 8%, Mykola Kuleba 6%, International Court of Justice 6%Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? — December 31 18%, October 31 8%, September 30 <1%Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? — Yes 4%, No 96%Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...? — November 30 78%, November 15 74%, October 31 59%, October 15 34%Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? — Yes 18%, No 82%Trump out as President before 2027? — Yes 4%, No 96%Iran leadership change by...? — June 30, 2027 22%, December 31 12%, November 30 6%, October 31 2%NATO x Russia military clash by...? — December 31 21%, October 31 8%Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? — Yes 6%, No 94%Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? — October 31 84%, November 30 70%, December 31 62%Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? — December 31 6%, October 31 1%US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? — December 31 30%, November 30 23%, October 31 17%, October 15 7%Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? — Yes 3%, No 97%Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? — Yes 10%, No 90%Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? — December 31 64%, November 30 55%, October 31 36%, October 15 12%Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? — Steve Witkoff 50%, Jared Kushner 50%, Abbas Araghchi 49%, Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani 35%Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? — Yes 4%, No 96%Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...? — Yes 24%, No 76%US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? — December 31 14%, November 30 8%, October 31 3%Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...? — September 30 97%, September 29 86%, September 26 83%, September 21 82%Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) — December 31 18%, October 31 6%Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? — December 31 18%, October 31 8%, July 4 —Venezuela leader end of 2026? — Nicolás Maduro 71%, Delcy Rodríguez 25%, No Head of State 2%, María Corina Machado 1%Putin out as President of Russia by...? — June 30, 2027 10%, December 31, 2026 2%Iran leader end of 2026? — Mojtaba Khamenei 87%, No Head of State 5%, Reza Pahlavi 3%, Alireza Arafi 1%Will Russia target Kyiv on...? — October 6 94%, October 5 93%, October 12 90%, October 7 88%Who will Trump meet with in 2026? — Vladimir Putin 82%, Mohammed bin Salman 66%, Kim Jong Un 18%, King Mohammed VI 18%Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? — Person D 50%, Person E 50%, Person F 50%, Person G 50%2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner — Kuomintang (KMT) 91%, Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 10%, Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) <1%, Other —Next leader out of power before 2027? — None before 2027 32%, Netanyahu - Israel PM 32%, Sánchez - Spanish PM 16%, Lecornu - France PM 9%Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? — December 31 16%, October 31 8%US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? — December 31 6%, July 31 —Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? — December 31, 2027 69%, November 30, 2027 66%, September 30, 2027 62%, October 31, 2027 62%Xi Jinping out before 2027? — Yes 3%, No 97%Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? — Druzkhivka 32%, Kramatorsk 16%, Sloviansk 12%, Sumy 5%