Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
| No second mandate | 64% |
| Other | 50% |
| Person 1 | 50% |
| Person 2 | 50% |
| Person 3 | 50% |
| Person 4 | 50% |
| Person 5 | 50% |
| Person 6 | 50% |
| Person 7 | 50% |
| Person 8 | 50% |
| Person 9 | 50% |
| Person 10 | 50% |
| Person 11 | 50% |
| Person 12 | 50% |
| Person 13 | 50% |
| Person 14 | 50% |
| Person 15 | 50% |
| Person 16 | 50% |
| Person 17 | 50% |
| Person 18 | 50% |
| Person 19 | 50% |
| Person 20 | 50% |
| Person 21 | 50% |
| Person 22 | 50% |
| Person 23 | 50% |
| Person 24 | 50% |
| Person 25 | 50% |
| Person 26 | 50% |
| Person 27 | 50% |
| Person 28 | 50% |
| Person 29 | 50% |
| Person 30 | 50% |
| Person 31 | 50% |
| Person 32 | 50% |
| Person 33 | 50% |
| Person 34 | 50% |
| Person 35 | 50% |
| Person 36 | 50% |
| Person 37 | 50% |
| Person 38 | 50% |
| Person 39 | 50% |
| Person 40 | 50% |
| Person 41 | 50% |
| Person 42 | 50% |
| Person 43 | 50% |
| Person 44 | 50% |
| Person 45 | 50% |
| Person 46 | 50% |
| Person 47 | 50% |
| Person 48 | 50% |
| Person 49 | 50% |
| Person 50 | 50% |
| Person 51 | 50% |
| Person 52 | 50% |
| Person 53 | 50% |
| Person 54 | 50% |
| Person 55 | 50% |
| Person 56 | 50% |
| Person 57 | 50% |
| Person 58 | 50% |
| Person 59 | 50% |
| Person 60 | 50% |
| Person 61 | 50% |
| Person 62 | 50% |
| Person 63 | 50% |
| Person 64 | 50% |
| Person 65 | 50% |
| Person 66 | 50% |
| Person 67 | 50% |
| Person 68 | 50% |
| Person 69 | 50% |
| Person 70 | 50% |
| Person 71 | 50% |
| Person 72 | 50% |
| Person 73 | 50% |
| Person 74 | 50% |
| Person 75 | 50% |
| Person 76 | 50% |
| Person 77 | 50% |
| Person 78 | 50% |
| Person 79 | 50% |
| Person 80 | 50% |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 24% |
| Yair Golan | 7% |
| Benny Gantz | 2% |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | 1% |
| Naftali Bennett | 1% |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 1% |
| Yair Lapid | 1% |
| Gadi Eizenkot | 1% |
| Yossi Cohen | 1% |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 1% |
| Yariv Levin | 1% |
| Moshe Feiglin | 1% |
| Ayelet Shaked | 1% |
| Yoaz Hendel | 1% |
| Israel Katz | 1% |
| Nir Barkat | 1% |
| Amir Ohana | 1% |
| Gilad Erdan | 1% |
| Ofer Winter | 1% |
| Eli Cohen | 1% |
Rules
Legislative elections were held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the second individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. Extensions of the first individual's mandate will not count as a second mandate. If the first individual is tasked with forming a government again, including via a petition of 61 members of the Knesset, this will not count; only a mandate given to a different individual will count as the second mandate. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no second individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No second mandate”. If the Knesset is dissolved or new elections are called before a second individual is tasked with forming a government, this market will resolve to “No second mandate”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.