Skip to main content

董事会任命 预测与赔率

·
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

40%

December 31

$418K 交易量

$5.1K Liq.

22

Ends 7 个月内

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

21%

December 31

$16.4K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

11%

$14.1K 交易量

$10.2K Liq.

1

Ends 21 天内

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

16%

$8.5K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?

Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?

3%

$2.9K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

Ends 21 天内

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$10.8K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

8

Ends 9 天前

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

1%

$323K 交易量

$100K Liq.

4

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

39%

Kyle Diamantas

$11.8K 交易量

$37.5K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

MLB: Next Red Sox Manager

MLB: Next Red Sox Manager

28%

Chad Tracy

$3.8K 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

>5%

+ 2 more

$0 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 2 个月前

Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager

Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager

96%

Marco Silva

$10.2K 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

Ends 3 个月内

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

13%

$18.8K 交易量

$15.8K Liq.

9

Ends 7 个月内

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

92%

$21.8K 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

1

Ends 7 个月内

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

88%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$159K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

56%

Petro - Colombia President

$767K 交易量

$439K Liq.

11

Ends 7 个月内

EPL: Next Manchester City Manager

EPL: Next Manchester City Manager

99%

Enzo Maresca

$96.4K 交易量

$24.8K Liq.

Ends 3 个月内

Bricks & Minifigs CEO fired/resigns by July 31?

Bricks & Minifigs CEO fired/resigns by July 31?

31%

$40 交易量

$491 Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

22%

June 30

$29.9K 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

1

Ends 21 天内

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

2%

$159K 交易量

$29.3K Liq.

Ends 21 天内

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

54%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$52.9K Liq.

130

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 董事会任命 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 113 个活跃的 董事会任命 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $3.5M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Kash Patel out by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Kash Patel out by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 董事会任命 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。