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icon for Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤销？
选举·纽约市市长

Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤销？

icon for Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤销？
选举·纽约市市长

Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤销？

12月 31

12月 31

是

3% 概率
Polymarket

$32,102 交易量

是

3% 概率
Polymarket

$32,102 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Zohran Mamdani, a naturalized U.S. citizen since 2018 and New York City mayor since early 2026, faces no active denaturalization proceedings despite 2025 calls from Republican lawmakers like Rep. Andy Ogles for DOJ review over alleged undisclosed associations predating his citizenship. Legal experts note that revocation requires judicial proof of material fraud in the naturalization application, a high bar with limited precedent outside serious criminal cases, and no such evidence has advanced in court. Trader consensus at 97.5% against revocation before 2027 reflects these procedural safeguards, the absence of formal charges, and Mamdani’s continued exercise of official duties. Scenarios that could still shift odds include newly verified documentation discrepancies triggering successful litigation or executive prioritization of denaturalization cases within the narrow remaining timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$32,102
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Zohran Mamdani, a naturalized U.S. citizen since 2018 and New York City mayor since early 2026, faces no active denaturalization proceedings despite 2025 calls from Republican lawmakers like Rep. Andy Ogles for DOJ review over alleged undisclosed associations predating his citizenship. Legal experts note that revocation requires judicial proof of material fraud in the naturalization application, a high bar with limited precedent outside serious criminal cases, and no such evidence has advanced in court. Trader consensus at 97.5% against revocation before 2027 reflects these procedural safeguards, the absence of formal charges, and Mamdani’s continued exercise of official duties. Scenarios that could still shift odds include newly verified documentation discrepancies triggering successful litigation or executive prioritization of denaturalization cases within the narrow remaining timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$32,102
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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常见问题

"Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤销？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Zohran Mamdani在2027年之前被撤销公民身份？"，概率为 3%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 3¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 3%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤销？"已产生 $32.1K 的总交易量（自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤销？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤销？"的当前领先者是"Zohran Mamdani在2027年之前被撤销公民身份？"，仅有 3%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤销？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。