Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded general licenses in early 2026 have supported Venezuelan crude output, pushing secondary-source estimates above 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first time in years, with June figures near 1.03–1.1 million bpd per OPEC data. This modest rebound reflects incremental investment from partners like Chevron and PDVSA joint ventures, projected at $1.4 billion for the year, alongside higher realized prices amid global supply tightness. However, chronic underinvestment, infrastructure decay, and the need for tens of billions in upstream capital to sustain further gains constrain upside, keeping 2026 averages likely in the 1.0–1.3 million bpd range according to EIA and analyst outlooks. Key swing factors include oil-price levels, regulatory continuity, and any additional licensing deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$182,397 交易量
2027-02-27
120万
64%
130万
20%
140万
9%
150万
6%
170万
3%
200万
2%
$182,397 交易量
120万
$10,444 交易量
64%
130万
$7,721 交易量
20%
140万
$19,774 交易量
9%
150万
$9,719 交易量
6%
170万
$58,787 交易量
3%
200万
$16,314 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded general licenses in early 2026 have supported Venezuelan crude output, pushing secondary-source estimates above 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first time in years, with June figures near 1.03–1.1 million bpd per OPEC data. This modest rebound reflects incremental investment from partners like Chevron and PDVSA joint ventures, projected at $1.4 billion for the year, alongside higher realized prices amid global supply tightness. However, chronic underinvestment, infrastructure decay, and the need for tens of billions in upstream capital to sustain further gains constrain upside, keeping 2026 averages likely in the 1.0–1.3 million bpd range according to EIA and analyst outlooks. Key swing factors include oil-price levels, regulatory continuity, and any additional licensing deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
交易量
$182,397结束日期
2027-02-28市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded general licenses in early 2026 have supported Venezuelan crude output, pushing secondary-source estimates above 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first time in years, with June figures near 1.03–1.1 million bpd per OPEC data. This modest rebound reflects incremental investment from partners like Chevron and PDVSA joint ventures, projected at $1.4 billion for the year, alongside higher realized prices amid global supply tightness. However, chronic underinvestment, infrastructure decay, and the need for tens of billions in upstream capital to sustain further gains constrain upside, keeping 2026 averages likely in the 1.0–1.3 million bpd range according to EIA and analyst outlooks. Key swing factors include oil-price levels, regulatory continuity, and any additional licensing deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
交易量
$182,397结束日期
2027-02-28市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. sanctions relief and expanded general licenses in early 2026 have supported Venezuelan crude output, pushing secondary-source estimates above 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for the first time in years, with June figures near 1.03–1.1 million bpd per OPEC data. This modest rebound reflects incremental investment from partners like Chevron and PDVSA joint ventures, projected at $1.4 billion for the year, alongside higher realized prices amid global supply tightness. However, chronic underinvestment, infrastructure decay, and the need for tens of billions in upstream capital to sustain further gains constrain upside, keeping 2026 averages likely in the 1.0–1.3 million bpd range according to EIA and analyst outlooks. Key swing factors include oil-price levels, regulatory continuity, and any additional licensing deadlines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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