The U.S. conducted a limited January 2026 special forces operation in Venezuela to capture Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, involving targeted airstrikes and a brief apprehension raid rather than sustained territorial occupation or regime-change invasion. Subsequent Trump administration actions have centered on counternarcotics strikes against cartel vessels, joint operations in Ecuador, and diplomatic-economic pressure on Cuba and Nicaragua, without declarations of war, large-scale troop deployments, or congressional authorizations for broader military intervention. Trader consensus for no full invasion in the remainder of 2026 reflects the absence of escalatory indicators, historical patterns of targeted rather than expansive U.S. hemispheric actions, and regional pushback that has constrained further kinetic moves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
12% 概率
$269,867 交易量
$269,867 交易量
2026-12-30
是
12% 概率
$269,867 交易量
$269,867 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The U.S. conducted a limited January 2026 special forces operation in Venezuela to capture Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, involving targeted airstrikes and a brief apprehension raid rather than sustained territorial occupation or regime-change invasion. Subsequent Trump administration actions have centered on counternarcotics strikes against cartel vessels, joint operations in Ecuador, and diplomatic-economic pressure on Cuba and Nicaragua, without declarations of war, large-scale troop deployments, or congressional authorizations for broader military intervention. Trader consensus for no full invasion in the remainder of 2026 reflects the absence of escalatory indicators, historical patterns of targeted rather than expansive U.S. hemispheric actions, and regional pushback that has constrained further kinetic moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$269,867结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The U.S. conducted a limited January 2026 special forces operation in Venezuela to capture Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, involving targeted airstrikes and a brief apprehension raid rather than sustained territorial occupation or regime-change invasion. Subsequent Trump administration actions have centered on counternarcotics strikes against cartel vessels, joint operations in Ecuador, and diplomatic-economic pressure on Cuba and Nicaragua, without declarations of war, large-scale troop deployments, or congressional authorizations for broader military intervention. Trader consensus for no full invasion in the remainder of 2026 reflects the absence of escalatory indicators, historical patterns of targeted rather than expansive U.S. hemispheric actions, and regional pushback that has constrained further kinetic moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$269,867结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. conducted a limited January 2026 special forces operation in Venezuela to capture Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, involving targeted airstrikes and a brief apprehension raid rather than sustained territorial occupation or regime-change invasion. Subsequent Trump administration actions have centered on counternarcotics strikes against cartel vessels, joint operations in Ecuador, and diplomatic-economic pressure on Cuba and Nicaragua, without declarations of war, large-scale troop deployments, or congressional authorizations for broader military intervention. Trader consensus for no full invasion in the remainder of 2026 reflects the absence of escalatory indicators, historical patterns of targeted rather than expansive U.S. hemispheric actions, and regional pushback that has constrained further kinetic moves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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