Core OPEC+ members, led by Saudi Arabia, continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and voluntary production adjustments, most recently on June 7, 2026, reaffirming commitments to market stability amid ongoing output quota reviews. The UAE's May 2026 exit introduced short-term uncertainty but has not triggered broader dissolution momentum, as remaining participants maintain output targets and compensation mechanisms. Trader consensus at 92.5% against dissolution by year-end 2026 reflects the group's historical resilience and Saudi incentives to preserve influence over pricing dynamics. Realistic challenges include additional member exits or escalated geopolitical disruptions that could erode coordination incentives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,584 交易量
$29,584 交易量
2026-12-31
$29,584 交易量
$29,584 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Core OPEC+ members, led by Saudi Arabia, continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and voluntary production adjustments, most recently on June 7, 2026, reaffirming commitments to market stability amid ongoing output quota reviews. The UAE's May 2026 exit introduced short-term uncertainty but has not triggered broader dissolution momentum, as remaining participants maintain output targets and compensation mechanisms. Trader consensus at 92.5% against dissolution by year-end 2026 reflects the group's historical resilience and Saudi incentives to preserve influence over pricing dynamics. Realistic challenges include additional member exits or escalated geopolitical disruptions that could erode coordination incentives.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
交易量
$29,584结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Core OPEC+ members, led by Saudi Arabia, continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and voluntary production adjustments, most recently on June 7, 2026, reaffirming commitments to market stability amid ongoing output quota reviews. The UAE's May 2026 exit introduced short-term uncertainty but has not triggered broader dissolution momentum, as remaining participants maintain output targets and compensation mechanisms. Trader consensus at 92.5% against dissolution by year-end 2026 reflects the group's historical resilience and Saudi incentives to preserve influence over pricing dynamics. Realistic challenges include additional member exits or escalated geopolitical disruptions that could erode coordination incentives.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$29,584结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Core OPEC+ members, led by Saudi Arabia, continue active coordination through regular ministerial meetings and voluntary production adjustments, most recently on June 7, 2026, reaffirming commitments to market stability amid ongoing output quota reviews. The UAE's May 2026 exit introduced short-term uncertainty but has not triggered broader dissolution momentum, as remaining participants maintain output targets and compensation mechanisms. Trader consensus at 92.5% against dissolution by year-end 2026 reflects the group's historical resilience and Saudi incentives to preserve influence over pricing dynamics. Realistic challenges include additional member exits or escalated geopolitical disruptions that could erode coordination incentives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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