NATO's institutional framework, requiring unanimous consent among 32 member states for fundamental changes and U.S. withdrawal subject to congressional approval, underpins trader expectations that the alliance will endure through 2026. Recent summits, including the 2025 Hague gathering where allies committed to raising defense spending toward 5% of GDP by 2035, alongside the 2026 annual report documenting record investment levels, reflect sustained operational momentum. Upcoming events such as the July Ankara summit further signal continuity. Strains from U.S. policy shifts on force commitments and regional disputes have prompted European contingency planning but have not triggered dissolution proceedings. Late developments like a sudden U.S. exit or coordinated member withdrawal could still shift probabilities, though such steps face significant procedural and political hurdles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$108,901 交易量
$108,901 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$108,901 交易量
$108,901 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.NATO's institutional framework, requiring unanimous consent among 32 member states for fundamental changes and U.S. withdrawal subject to congressional approval, underpins trader expectations that the alliance will endure through 2026. Recent summits, including the 2025 Hague gathering where allies committed to raising defense spending toward 5% of GDP by 2035, alongside the 2026 annual report documenting record investment levels, reflect sustained operational momentum. Upcoming events such as the July Ankara summit further signal continuity. Strains from U.S. policy shifts on force commitments and regional disputes have prompted European contingency planning but have not triggered dissolution proceedings. Late developments like a sudden U.S. exit or coordinated member withdrawal could still shift probabilities, though such steps face significant procedural and political hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$108,901结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.NATO's institutional framework, requiring unanimous consent among 32 member states for fundamental changes and U.S. withdrawal subject to congressional approval, underpins trader expectations that the alliance will endure through 2026. Recent summits, including the 2025 Hague gathering where allies committed to raising defense spending toward 5% of GDP by 2035, alongside the 2026 annual report documenting record investment levels, reflect sustained operational momentum. Upcoming events such as the July Ankara summit further signal continuity. Strains from U.S. policy shifts on force commitments and regional disputes have prompted European contingency planning but have not triggered dissolution proceedings. Late developments like a sudden U.S. exit or coordinated member withdrawal could still shift probabilities, though such steps face significant procedural and political hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
NATO will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the NATO member states (as of market creation) withdraw from NATO.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all NATO member states to repeal or nullify the North Atlantic Treaty.
3) NATO otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
NATO member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or provide an official notice of denunciation to NATO, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO and NATO member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$108,901结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NATO's institutional framework, requiring unanimous consent among 32 member states for fundamental changes and U.S. withdrawal subject to congressional approval, underpins trader expectations that the alliance will endure through 2026. Recent summits, including the 2025 Hague gathering where allies committed to raising defense spending toward 5% of GDP by 2035, alongside the 2026 annual report documenting record investment levels, reflect sustained operational momentum. Upcoming events such as the July Ankara summit further signal continuity. Strains from U.S. policy shifts on force commitments and regional disputes have prompted European contingency planning but have not triggered dissolution proceedings. Late developments like a sudden U.S. exit or coordinated member withdrawal could still shift probabilities, though such steps face significant procedural and political hurdles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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