**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 55.5% reflects the 60% supermajority threshold for constitutional amendments amid mixed polling and fiscal concerns.** The measure, placed on the November 2026 ballot via special legislative session in June, would raise the non-school homestead exemption to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, index it to inflation later, cap non-homestead assessment growth at 5%, impose a five-year residency wait for new residents, and restrict local property-tax revenue to core services. Early polls using the original language showed support near or above 60%, but a University of North Florida survey found backing falling to 45% when highlighting an estimated $11.8 billion local revenue shortfall over two years. A court-ordered August rewrite replaced the original title and summary with neutral phrasing, removing persuasive elements. Local governments have highlighted service impacts, while partisan divides persist with stronger Republican backing. These factors, combined with the high bar for passage, underpin current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
38% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
38% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/). **Trader consensus favoring "No" at 55.5% reflects the 60% supermajority threshold for constitutional amendments amid mixed polling and fiscal concerns.** The measure, placed on the November 2026 ballot via special legislative session in June, would raise the non-school homestead exemption to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, index it to inflation later, cap non-homestead assessment growth at 5%, impose a five-year residency wait for new residents, and restrict local property-tax revenue to core services. Early polls using the original language showed support near or above 60%, but a University of North Florida survey found backing falling to 45% when highlighting an estimated $11.8 billion local revenue shortfall over two years. A court-ordered August rewrite replaced the original title and summary with neutral phrasing, removing persuasive elements. Local governments have highlighted service impacts, while partisan divides persist with stronger Republican backing. These factors, combined with the high bar for passage, underpin current market pricing.
Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jul 8, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
交易量
$1,760结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 6:20 PM ETFlorida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/). **Trader consensus favoring "No" at 55.5% reflects the 60% supermajority threshold for constitutional amendments amid mixed polling and fiscal concerns.** The measure, placed on the November 2026 ballot via special legislative session in June, would raise the non-school homestead exemption to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, index it to inflation later, cap non-homestead assessment growth at 5%, impose a five-year residency wait for new residents, and restrict local property-tax revenue to core services. Early polls using the original language showed support near or above 60%, but a University of North Florida survey found backing falling to 45% when highlighting an estimated $11.8 billion local revenue shortfall over two years. A court-ordered August rewrite replaced the original title and summary with neutral phrasing, removing persuasive elements. Local governments have highlighted service impacts, while partisan divides persist with stronger Republican backing. These factors, combined with the high bar for passage, underpin current market pricing.
Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
交易量
$1,760结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 8, 2026, 6:20 PM ET**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 55.5% reflects the 60% supermajority threshold for constitutional amendments amid mixed polling and fiscal concerns.** The measure, placed on the November 2026 ballot via special legislative session in June, would raise the non-school homestead exemption to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028, index it to inflation later, cap non-homestead assessment growth at 5%, impose a five-year residency wait for new residents, and restrict local property-tax revenue to core services. Early polls using the original language showed support near or above 60%, but a University of North Florida survey found backing falling to 45% when highlighting an estimated $11.8 billion local revenue shortfall over two years. A court-ordered August rewrite replaced the original title and summary with neutral phrasing, removing persuasive elements. Local governments have highlighted service impacts, while partisan divides persist with stronger Republican backing. These factors, combined with the high bar for passage, underpin current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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