US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following the expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. High-level talks in Switzerland that month, involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf along with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, produced only a roadmap for technical discussions without resolving core disputes. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has stated that no further talks are scheduled or planned, while Iran has conditioned any resumption on the lifting of US blockades and sanctions. These developments, combined with ongoing regional tensions including Lebanon-related issues, shape trader assessments of whether senior officials from either side will convene before year-end. Scheduled diplomatic channels or third-party mediation could still influence timelines within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$304,963 交易量
2026-12-31
Steve Witkoff
43%
贾里德·库什纳
41%
穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫
42%
阿巴斯·阿拉格齐
34%
伊沙克·达尔
31%
J.D. 万斯
31%
卡泽姆·加里巴巴迪
24%
尼克·斯图尔特
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
18%
巴德尔·本·哈马德·阿尔布赛义迪
17%
拉斐尔·格罗西
16%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒萨尼
15%
唐纳德·特朗普
14%
马可·鲁比奥
13%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
13%
艾哈迈德·瓦希迪
11%
彼特·赫格塞思
9%
埃斯梅尔·卡阿尼
7%
穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
5%
$304,963 交易量
Steve Witkoff
$17,730 交易量
43%
贾里德·库什纳
$14,387 交易量
41%
穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫
$11,943 交易量
42%
阿巴斯·阿拉格齐
$7,573 交易量
34%
伊沙克·达尔
$17,540 交易量
31%
J.D. 万斯
$20,976 交易量
31%
卡泽姆·加里巴巴迪
$16,478 交易量
24%
尼克·斯图尔特
$11,128 交易量
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$16,946 交易量
18%
巴德尔·本·哈马德·阿尔布赛义迪
$29,145 交易量
17%
拉斐尔·格罗西
$18,288 交易量
16%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒萨尼
$28,743 交易量
15%
唐纳德·特朗普
$7,456 交易量
14%
马可·鲁比奥
$13,311 交易量
13%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
$19,279 交易量
13%
艾哈迈德·瓦希迪
$7,856 交易量
11%
彼特·赫格塞思
$15,413 交易量
9%
埃斯梅尔·卡阿尼
$10,890 交易量
7%
穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
$19,880 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following the expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. High-level talks in Switzerland that month, involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf along with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, produced only a roadmap for technical discussions without resolving core disputes. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has stated that no further talks are scheduled or planned, while Iran has conditioned any resumption on the lifting of US blockades and sanctions. These developments, combined with ongoing regional tensions including Lebanon-related issues, shape trader assessments of whether senior officials from either side will convene before year-end. Scheduled diplomatic channels or third-party mediation could still influence timelines within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
交易量
$304,963结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following the expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. High-level talks in Switzerland that month, involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf along with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, produced only a roadmap for technical discussions without resolving core disputes. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has stated that no further talks are scheduled or planned, while Iran has conditioned any resumption on the lifting of US blockades and sanctions. These developments, combined with ongoing regional tensions including Lebanon-related issues, shape trader assessments of whether senior officials from either side will convene before year-end. Scheduled diplomatic channels or third-party mediation could still influence timelines within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$304,963结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following the expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. High-level talks in Switzerland that month, involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf along with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, produced only a roadmap for technical discussions without resolving core disputes. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has stated that no further talks are scheduled or planned, while Iran has conditioned any resumption on the lifting of US blockades and sanctions. These developments, combined with ongoing regional tensions including Lebanon-related issues, shape trader assessments of whether senior officials from either side will convene before year-end. Scheduled diplomatic channels or third-party mediation could still influence timelines within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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