US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following expiration of the June 17 memorandum of understanding and its 60-day window for a broader nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has publicly ruled out scheduled talks or meetings, while Tehran insists the Strait of Hormuz will stay restricted until Washington lifts its naval blockade, ends sanctions on oil exports, and releases frozen assets. Fresh US secondary sanctions targeting Iranian oil trade with China have drawn Iranian warnings of retaliation, and mediators from Qatar and Pakistan have floated indirect channels without confirmed high-level participation. No new round of direct or mediated negotiations has been verified as imminent before the August 31 cutoff, leaving prospects for attendance by principal figures such as US Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi dependent on last-minute de-escalation signals amid ongoing Hormuz disputes and economic pressure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$96,959 交易量
2026-08-31
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
46%
尼克·斯图尔特
21%
Rafael Grossi
14%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
伊沙克·达尔
4%
Steve Witkoff
4%
贾里德·库什纳
4%
马吉德·塔赫特-拉万奇
4%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
3%
J.D.万斯
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
2%
马克·卢比奥
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
唐纳德·特朗普
<1%
$96,959 交易量
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$267 交易量
46%
尼克·斯图尔特
$36 交易量
21%
Rafael Grossi
$886 交易量
14%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,231 交易量
5%
伊沙克·达尔
$2,920 交易量
4%
Steve Witkoff
$13,652 交易量
4%
贾里德·库什纳
$14,141 交易量
4%
马吉德·塔赫特-拉万奇
$3,315 交易量
4%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,289 交易量
3%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,772 交易量
3%
J.D.万斯
$11,252 交易量
2%
Pete Hegseth
$2,632 交易量
2%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,750 交易量
2%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,752 交易量
2%
马克·卢比奥
$7,729 交易量
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,781 交易量
1%
Esmail Qaani
$695 交易量
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$688 交易量
1%
唐纳德·特朗普
$7,171 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following expiration of the June 17 memorandum of understanding and its 60-day window for a broader nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has publicly ruled out scheduled talks or meetings, while Tehran insists the Strait of Hormuz will stay restricted until Washington lifts its naval blockade, ends sanctions on oil exports, and releases frozen assets. Fresh US secondary sanctions targeting Iranian oil trade with China have drawn Iranian warnings of retaliation, and mediators from Qatar and Pakistan have floated indirect channels without confirmed high-level participation. No new round of direct or mediated negotiations has been verified as imminent before the August 31 cutoff, leaving prospects for attendance by principal figures such as US Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi dependent on last-minute de-escalation signals amid ongoing Hormuz disputes and economic pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
交易量
$96,959结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following expiration of the June 17 memorandum of understanding and its 60-day window for a broader nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has publicly ruled out scheduled talks or meetings, while Tehran insists the Strait of Hormuz will stay restricted until Washington lifts its naval blockade, ends sanctions on oil exports, and releases frozen assets. Fresh US secondary sanctions targeting Iranian oil trade with China have drawn Iranian warnings of retaliation, and mediators from Qatar and Pakistan have floated indirect channels without confirmed high-level participation. No new round of direct or mediated negotiations has been verified as imminent before the August 31 cutoff, leaving prospects for attendance by principal figures such as US Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi dependent on last-minute de-escalation signals amid ongoing Hormuz disputes and economic pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$96,959结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following expiration of the June 17 memorandum of understanding and its 60-day window for a broader nuclear and sanctions accord. President Trump has publicly ruled out scheduled talks or meetings, while Tehran insists the Strait of Hormuz will stay restricted until Washington lifts its naval blockade, ends sanctions on oil exports, and releases frozen assets. Fresh US secondary sanctions targeting Iranian oil trade with China have drawn Iranian warnings of retaliation, and mediators from Qatar and Pakistan have floated indirect channels without confirmed high-level participation. No new round of direct or mediated negotiations has been verified as imminent before the August 31 cutoff, leaving prospects for attendance by principal figures such as US Vice President Vance or Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi dependent on last-minute de-escalation signals amid ongoing Hormuz disputes and economic pressure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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