Traders assign the highest implied probability (48.8%) to a USD/JPY close in the 140-150 range by end-2026, reflecting the closely contested outlook between that bucket and 150-160 (39.0%). Recent yen strength, with the pair falling from near 160 to around 156 in early September amid BoJ rate-hike expectations and suspected intervention, underscores narrowing U.S.-Japan policy differentials as the dominant driver. The Fed's 3.50-3.75% range faces potential September adjustments while the BoJ, already at 1.00%, prices in further tightening; persistent U.S. inflation data and labor-market resilience versus Japan's import-cost pressures and fiscal concerns keep the contest balanced. Key swing factors include September central-bank decisions, upcoming CPI and payroll releases, and any coordinated FX intervention that could anchor the pair below recent highs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于150-160 39%
140-150 29.0%
160-170 16%
<140 13%
最新
最新
2026-12-30
<140
13%
140-150
33%
150-160
39%
160-170
16%
170-180
9%
180+
5%
150-160 39%
140-150 29.0%
160-170 16%
<140 13%
最新
最新
2026-12-30
<140
$478 交易量
13%
140-150
$189 交易量
33%
150-160
$2,043 交易量
39%
160-170
$397 交易量
16%
170-180
$136 交易量
9%
180+
$200 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Traders assign the highest implied probability (48.8%) to a USD/JPY close in the 140-150 range by end-2026, reflecting the closely contested outlook between that bucket and 150-160 (39.0%). Recent yen strength, with the pair falling from near 160 to around 156 in early September amid BoJ rate-hike expectations and suspected intervention, underscores narrowing U.S.-Japan policy differentials as the dominant driver. The Fed's 3.50-3.75% range faces potential September adjustments while the BoJ, already at 1.00%, prices in further tightening; persistent U.S. inflation data and labor-market resilience versus Japan's import-cost pressures and fiscal concerns keep the contest balanced. Key swing factors include September central-bank decisions, upcoming CPI and payroll releases, and any coordinated FX intervention that could anchor the pair below recent highs.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
交易量
$3,443结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Traders assign the highest implied probability (48.8%) to a USD/JPY close in the 140-150 range by end-2026, reflecting the closely contested outlook between that bucket and 150-160 (39.0%). Recent yen strength, with the pair falling from near 160 to around 156 in early September amid BoJ rate-hike expectations and suspected intervention, underscores narrowing U.S.-Japan policy differentials as the dominant driver. The Fed's 3.50-3.75% range faces potential September adjustments while the BoJ, already at 1.00%, prices in further tightening; persistent U.S. inflation data and labor-market resilience versus Japan's import-cost pressures and fiscal concerns keep the contest balanced. Key swing factors include September central-bank decisions, upcoming CPI and payroll releases, and any coordinated FX intervention that could anchor the pair below recent highs.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$3,443结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETTraders assign the highest implied probability (48.8%) to a USD/JPY close in the 140-150 range by end-2026, reflecting the closely contested outlook between that bucket and 150-160 (39.0%). Recent yen strength, with the pair falling from near 160 to around 156 in early September amid BoJ rate-hike expectations and suspected intervention, underscores narrowing U.S.-Japan policy differentials as the dominant driver. The Fed's 3.50-3.75% range faces potential September adjustments while the BoJ, already at 1.00%, prices in further tightening; persistent U.S. inflation data and labor-market resilience versus Japan's import-cost pressures and fiscal concerns keep the contest balanced. Key swing factors include September central-bank decisions, upcoming CPI and payroll releases, and any coordinated FX intervention that could anchor the pair below recent highs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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