President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于14% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-30
14% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
交易量
$6,734结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,734结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's ruling coalition holds roughly 321 seats in Turkey's 600-seat parliament, short of the 360 needed to advance a new constitution to a referendum. Optimistic statements from AKP leaders and Parliament Speaker Numan Kurtulmuş in June 2026 about possible adoption in 2026-2027 have kept the topic active following the 2025 appointment of a legal drafting team, yet no parliamentary votes or official referendum announcement have occurred. Securing additional support from opposition parties remains uncertain amid ongoing debates over term limits and institutional changes, leaving the process short of the threshold for a 2026 public vote. Traders therefore price a low likelihood of an announcement by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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