The S&P 500 closed at 7,677.28 on August 25, 2026, up roughly 12% year-to-date amid record highs reached this month. Robust second-quarter earnings growth—on pace for a 33.5% year-over-year increase, the strongest since 2021—has been the dominant driver, fueled by AI-related profits and supporting a forward P/E near 20.2. A recent Reuters poll of strategists shows a median year-end 2026 target of 7,900, reflecting optimism on sustained earnings and easing geopolitical tensions. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% through multiple meetings, with the next FOMC decision and dot plot due September 15–16, followed by key inflation and employment releases that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$322,020 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300美元
5%
↑ $9,000
7%
↑ 8,600美元
11%
↑ 8,200美元
40%
↑ $8,000
52%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
61%
↓ $7,000
63%
↓ 6,200美元
11%
↓ $6,000
11%
↓ 5,800
8%
↓ 5,200
6%
↓ 4,500美元
3%
$322,020 交易量
↑ $10,000
$103 交易量
3%
↑ 9,300美元
$9,465 交易量
5%
↑ $9,000
$68 交易量
7%
↑ 8,600美元
$29,749 交易量
11%
↑ 8,200美元
$22,195 交易量
40%
↑ $8,000
$489 交易量
52%
↓ $7,400
$0 交易量
73%
↓ $7,200
$0 交易量
61%
↓ $7,000
$200 交易量
63%
↓ 6,200美元
$45,970 交易量
11%
↓ $6,000
$1,251 交易量
11%
↓ 5,800
$39,893 交易量
8%
↓ 5,200
$53,774 交易量
6%
↓ 4,500美元
$58,813 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,677.28 on August 25, 2026, up roughly 12% year-to-date amid record highs reached this month. Robust second-quarter earnings growth—on pace for a 33.5% year-over-year increase, the strongest since 2021—has been the dominant driver, fueled by AI-related profits and supporting a forward P/E near 20.2. A recent Reuters poll of strategists shows a median year-end 2026 target of 7,900, reflecting optimism on sustained earnings and easing geopolitical tensions. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% through multiple meetings, with the next FOMC decision and dot plot due September 15–16, followed by key inflation and employment releases that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$322,020结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,677.28 on August 25, 2026, up roughly 12% year-to-date amid record highs reached this month. Robust second-quarter earnings growth—on pace for a 33.5% year-over-year increase, the strongest since 2021—has been the dominant driver, fueled by AI-related profits and supporting a forward P/E near 20.2. A recent Reuters poll of strategists shows a median year-end 2026 target of 7,900, reflecting optimism on sustained earnings and easing geopolitical tensions. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% through multiple meetings, with the next FOMC decision and dot plot due September 15–16, followed by key inflation and employment releases that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$322,020结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe S&P 500 closed at 7,677.28 on August 25, 2026, up roughly 12% year-to-date amid record highs reached this month. Robust second-quarter earnings growth—on pace for a 33.5% year-over-year increase, the strongest since 2021—has been the dominant driver, fueled by AI-related profits and supporting a forward P/E near 20.2. A recent Reuters poll of strategists shows a median year-end 2026 target of 7,900, reflecting optimism on sustained earnings and easing geopolitical tensions. The Federal Reserve has held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% through multiple meetings, with the next FOMC decision and dot plot due September 15–16, followed by key inflation and employment releases that could influence rate expectations and equity valuations through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题