The S&P 500 closed at 7,657 on September 11, 2026, up roughly 12% year-to-date but about 2% below its August peak near 7,817 amid sticky inflation readings. Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and notable gains in AI infrastructure names, have supported the index, though elevated oil prices and hotter-than-expected CPI have shifted trader focus toward a potential Fed funds rate hike at the mid-September FOMC meeting. Market-implied odds now price in higher-for-longer policy, limiting valuation expansion even as earnings forecasts for 2026 climb above $340 per share. Key upcoming releases through December—including additional CPI prints, nonfarm payrolls, and the December FOMC—will likely determine whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and sustain levels near or above 7,900–8,100 by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$355,047 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300美元
4%
↑ $9,000
50%
↑ 8,600美元
11%
↑ 8,200美元
27%
↑ $8,000
44%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
48%
↓ $7,000
34%
↓ 6,200美元
27%
↓ $6,000
14%
↓ 5,800
9%
↓ 5,200
7%
↓ 4,500美元
4%
$355,047 交易量
↑ $10,000
$425 交易量
3%
↑ 9,300美元
$10,026 交易量
4%
↑ $9,000
$138 交易量
50%
↑ 8,600美元
$31,740 交易量
11%
↑ 8,200美元
$23,856 交易量
27%
↑ $8,000
$571 交易量
44%
↓ $7,400
$15 交易量
73%
↓ $7,200
$159 交易量
48%
↓ $7,000
$1,090 交易量
34%
↓ 6,200美元
$57,316 交易量
27%
↓ $6,000
$4,170 交易量
14%
↓ 5,800
$42,734 交易量
9%
↓ 5,200
$62,331 交易量
7%
↓ 4,500美元
$60,426 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,657 on September 11, 2026, up roughly 12% year-to-date but about 2% below its August peak near 7,817 amid sticky inflation readings. Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and notable gains in AI infrastructure names, have supported the index, though elevated oil prices and hotter-than-expected CPI have shifted trader focus toward a potential Fed funds rate hike at the mid-September FOMC meeting. Market-implied odds now price in higher-for-longer policy, limiting valuation expansion even as earnings forecasts for 2026 climb above $340 per share. Key upcoming releases through December—including additional CPI prints, nonfarm payrolls, and the December FOMC—will likely determine whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and sustain levels near or above 7,900–8,100 by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$355,047结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed at 7,657 on September 11, 2026, up roughly 12% year-to-date but about 2% below its August peak near 7,817 amid sticky inflation readings. Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and notable gains in AI infrastructure names, have supported the index, though elevated oil prices and hotter-than-expected CPI have shifted trader focus toward a potential Fed funds rate hike at the mid-September FOMC meeting. Market-implied odds now price in higher-for-longer policy, limiting valuation expansion even as earnings forecasts for 2026 climb above $340 per share. Key upcoming releases through December—including additional CPI prints, nonfarm payrolls, and the December FOMC—will likely determine whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and sustain levels near or above 7,900–8,100 by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
交易量
$355,047结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe S&P 500 closed at 7,657 on September 11, 2026, up roughly 12% year-to-date but about 2% below its August peak near 7,817 amid sticky inflation readings. Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and notable gains in AI infrastructure names, have supported the index, though elevated oil prices and hotter-than-expected CPI have shifted trader focus toward a potential Fed funds rate hike at the mid-September FOMC meeting. Market-implied odds now price in higher-for-longer policy, limiting valuation expansion even as earnings forecasts for 2026 climb above $340 per share. Key upcoming releases through December—including additional CPI prints, nonfarm payrolls, and the December FOMC—will likely determine whether earnings momentum can offset tighter financial conditions and sustain levels near or above 7,900–8,100 by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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