Recent earnings growth and AI-driven capex have anchored trader sentiment around the S&P 500 closing 2026 near or above 7,500, with Goldman Sachs and peers lifting year-end targets to 8,000 amid projected 24% EPS expansion. Sticky core inflation, elevated energy prices from geopolitical supply constraints, and the prospect of firmer policy rates create offsetting downside risks that keep probabilities for the 7,000–8,000 bands tightly clustered between 19.5% and 26.5%. Current index levels near 7,500, narrow market breadth, and upcoming data on jobs and inflation underscore the sensitivity of these ranges to whether earnings momentum persists or yields and commodity costs pressure valuations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于高于8,000美元 27%
7,000-7,500 21%
7,500-8,000美元 20%
6,500-7,000美元 15%
$33,995 交易量
$33,995 交易量
2026-12-31
低于6,000
9%
6,000-6,500美元
12%
6,500-7,000美元
20%
7,000-7,500
21%
7,500-8,000美元
20%
高于8,000美元
27%
高于8,000美元 27%
7,000-7,500 21%
7,500-8,000美元 20%
6,500-7,000美元 15%
$33,995 交易量
$33,995 交易量
2026-12-31
低于6,000
$19,683 交易量
9%
6,000-6,500美元
$1,982 交易量
12%
6,500-7,000美元
$3,466 交易量
20%
7,000-7,500
$1,900 交易量
21%
7,500-8,000美元
$3,356 交易量
20%
高于8,000美元
$3,609 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent earnings growth and AI-driven capex have anchored trader sentiment around the S&P 500 closing 2026 near or above 7,500, with Goldman Sachs and peers lifting year-end targets to 8,000 amid projected 24% EPS expansion. Sticky core inflation, elevated energy prices from geopolitical supply constraints, and the prospect of firmer policy rates create offsetting downside risks that keep probabilities for the 7,000–8,000 bands tightly clustered between 19.5% and 26.5%. Current index levels near 7,500, narrow market breadth, and upcoming data on jobs and inflation underscore the sensitivity of these ranges to whether earnings momentum persists or yields and commodity costs pressure valuations.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
交易量
$33,995结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent earnings growth and AI-driven capex have anchored trader sentiment around the S&P 500 closing 2026 near or above 7,500, with Goldman Sachs and peers lifting year-end targets to 8,000 amid projected 24% EPS expansion. Sticky core inflation, elevated energy prices from geopolitical supply constraints, and the prospect of firmer policy rates create offsetting downside risks that keep probabilities for the 7,000–8,000 bands tightly clustered between 19.5% and 26.5%. Current index levels near 7,500, narrow market breadth, and upcoming data on jobs and inflation underscore the sensitivity of these ranges to whether earnings momentum persists or yields and commodity costs pressure valuations.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$33,995结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETRecent earnings growth and AI-driven capex have anchored trader sentiment around the S&P 500 closing 2026 near or above 7,500, with Goldman Sachs and peers lifting year-end targets to 8,000 amid projected 24% EPS expansion. Sticky core inflation, elevated energy prices from geopolitical supply constraints, and the prospect of firmer policy rates create offsetting downside risks that keep probabilities for the 7,000–8,000 bands tightly clustered between 19.5% and 26.5%. Current index levels near 7,500, narrow market breadth, and upcoming data on jobs and inflation underscore the sensitivity of these ranges to whether earnings momentum persists or yields and commodity costs pressure valuations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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