Traders are weighing incoming labor market and spending data as the market assigns the highest implied probability to a 0.5% September 2026 month-over-month US inflation print, followed closely by 0.4%. Recent nonfarm payrolls and wage growth figures have supported expectations for contained price pressures, while Treasury yields and Fed communications continue to signal caution on the pace of any policy easing. Core goods and shelter components remain key swing factors, with upcoming retail sales and producer price releases likely to refine the narrow gap between the leading outcomes. The distribution reflects aggregated trader positioning ahead of the official CPI release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.5% 39%
0.4% 30%
0.6% 16%
0.2% 8%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
3%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
8%
0.3%
5%
0.4%
30%
0.5%
39%
0.6%
16%
0.7%
6%
≥0.8%
5%
0.5% 39%
0.4% 30%
0.6% 16%
0.2% 8%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
$132 交易量
3%
0.1%
$110 交易量
5%
0.2%
$149 交易量
8%
0.3%
$150 交易量
5%
0.4%
$866 交易量
30%
0.5%
$2,063 交易量
39%
0.6%
$149 交易量
16%
0.7%
$130 交易量
6%
≥0.8%
$746 交易量
5%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are weighing incoming labor market and spending data as the market assigns the highest implied probability to a 0.5% September 2026 month-over-month US inflation print, followed closely by 0.4%. Recent nonfarm payrolls and wage growth figures have supported expectations for contained price pressures, while Treasury yields and Fed communications continue to signal caution on the pace of any policy easing. Core goods and shelter components remain key swing factors, with upcoming retail sales and producer price releases likely to refine the narrow gap between the leading outcomes. The distribution reflects aggregated trader positioning ahead of the official CPI release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
交易量
$4,495结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETThis is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are weighing incoming labor market and spending data as the market assigns the highest implied probability to a 0.5% September 2026 month-over-month US inflation print, followed closely by 0.4%. Recent nonfarm payrolls and wage growth figures have supported expectations for contained price pressures, while Treasury yields and Fed communications continue to signal caution on the pace of any policy easing. Core goods and shelter components remain key swing factors, with upcoming retail sales and producer price releases likely to refine the narrow gap between the leading outcomes. The distribution reflects aggregated trader positioning ahead of the official CPI release.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$4,495结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETTraders are weighing incoming labor market and spending data as the market assigns the highest implied probability to a 0.5% September 2026 month-over-month US inflation print, followed closely by 0.4%. Recent nonfarm payrolls and wage growth figures have supported expectations for contained price pressures, while Treasury yields and Fed communications continue to signal caution on the pace of any policy easing. Core goods and shelter components remain key swing factors, with upcoming retail sales and producer price releases likely to refine the narrow gap between the leading outcomes. The distribution reflects aggregated trader positioning ahead of the official CPI release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题