Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core rising 0.3% month-over-month amid elevated gasoline and energy prices, anchors trader focus on September's annual rate. The Cleveland Fed's September nowcast of 3.43% and University of Michigan survey showing one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6% reflect persistent supply-side pressures from geopolitical tensions. These factors support clustered implied probabilities around 3.4-3.6%, with 3.5% holding the narrowest lead at 32%. Upcoming FOMC decisions and October 14 CPI release remain key swing catalysts, as markets weigh whether sticky readings prompt further policy tightening beyond the widely anticipated September hike.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.5% 32%
3.6% 30%
3.4% 22%
3.7% 8%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
6%
3.3%
4%
3.4%
22%
3.5%
32%
3.6%
30%
3.7%
8%
3.8%
6%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
5%
3.5% 32%
3.6% 30%
3.4% 22%
3.7% 8%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤2.9%
$83 交易量
3%
3.0%
$67 交易量
4%
3.1%
$64 交易量
5%
3.2%
$87 交易量
6%
3.3%
$345 交易量
4%
3.4%
$616 交易量
22%
3.5%
$1,138 交易量
32%
3.6%
$725 交易量
30%
3.7%
$309 交易量
8%
3.8%
$54 交易量
6%
3.9%
$288 交易量
1%
≥4.0%
$129 交易量
5%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core rising 0.3% month-over-month amid elevated gasoline and energy prices, anchors trader focus on September's annual rate. The Cleveland Fed's September nowcast of 3.43% and University of Michigan survey showing one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6% reflect persistent supply-side pressures from geopolitical tensions. These factors support clustered implied probabilities around 3.4-3.6%, with 3.5% holding the narrowest lead at 32%. Upcoming FOMC decisions and October 14 CPI release remain key swing catalysts, as markets weigh whether sticky readings prompt further policy tightening beyond the widely anticipated September hike.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
交易量
$3,906结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETThis is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core rising 0.3% month-over-month amid elevated gasoline and energy prices, anchors trader focus on September's annual rate. The Cleveland Fed's September nowcast of 3.43% and University of Michigan survey showing one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6% reflect persistent supply-side pressures from geopolitical tensions. These factors support clustered implied probabilities around 3.4-3.6%, with 3.5% holding the narrowest lead at 32%. Upcoming FOMC decisions and October 14 CPI release remain key swing catalysts, as markets weigh whether sticky readings prompt further policy tightening beyond the widely anticipated September hike.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$3,906结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETRecent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core rising 0.3% month-over-month amid elevated gasoline and energy prices, anchors trader focus on September's annual rate. The Cleveland Fed's September nowcast of 3.43% and University of Michigan survey showing one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6% reflect persistent supply-side pressures from geopolitical tensions. These factors support clustered implied probabilities around 3.4-3.6%, with 3.5% holding the narrowest lead at 32%. Upcoming FOMC decisions and October 14 CPI release remain key swing catalysts, as markets weigh whether sticky readings prompt further policy tightening beyond the widely anticipated September hike.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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