Oregon's 6th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid D or Safe D. Incumbent Representative Andrea Salinas, first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces limited opposition in the November general election from Republican and unaffiliated candidates. Multiple nonpartisan analysts cite the district's suburban Portland and Willamette Valley composition, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, as structural factors supporting high trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national environment change capable of overcoming the district's baseline margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,710 交易量
$26,710 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$26,710 交易量
$26,710 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,626 交易量
95%
共和党
$10,083 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 6th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid D or Safe D. Incumbent Representative Andrea Salinas, first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces limited opposition in the November general election from Republican and unaffiliated candidates. Multiple nonpartisan analysts cite the district's suburban Portland and Willamette Valley composition, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, as structural factors supporting high trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national environment change capable of overcoming the district's baseline margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$26,710结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 6th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid D or Safe D. Incumbent Representative Andrea Salinas, first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces limited opposition in the November general election from Republican and unaffiliated candidates. Multiple nonpartisan analysts cite the district's suburban Portland and Willamette Valley composition, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, as structural factors supporting high trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national environment change capable of overcoming the district's baseline margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,710结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 6th congressional district maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid D or Safe D. Incumbent Representative Andrea Salinas, first elected in 2022, secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces limited opposition in the November general election from Republican and unaffiliated candidates. Multiple nonpartisan analysts cite the district's suburban Portland and Willamette Valley composition, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, as structural factors supporting high trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health issue, or dramatic national environment change capable of overcoming the district's baseline margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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