Recent long-form MrBeast videos, including “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” and “Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It,” have delivered total views in the 90–110 million range, with the bulk accruing in the opening week and establishing a reliable baseline for trader expectations around 60–80 million. The closely contested odds between the 60–70 million and 70–80 million brackets reflect uncertainty over how the upcoming Gemini AI-partnership survival video—slated for release around September 5 with jungle, desert, and Arctic challenges—will perform relative to that history. Factors such as the video’s high-concept hook, MrBeast’s 515 million subscriber base, and typical early-engagement velocity could push results higher, while release timing, promotional intensity, or any shift in audience fatigue might cap them lower. Traders are watching initial 24–48 hour metrics and chart momentum as the key swing indicators before the week-one lock.