Giorgia Meloni holds the leading 51.5% trader consensus for Italy's next prime minister due to her incumbency as head of the Brothers of Italy-led center-right coalition, which maintains a polling edge ahead of the 2027 general election. Recent setbacks, including the April 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reforms and a narrow July parliamentary loss on electoral amendments, have narrowed her advantage and boosted opposition momentum without derailing her position. Elly Schlein at 14% and Giuseppe Conte at 12.5% trail amid center-left fragmentation and efforts to unify behind a single challenger, while Silvia Salis at 8% gains visibility from her Genoa mayoral role as a potential unifier. Roberto Vannacci's 7.9% reflects his new party's far-right polling gains, and lower probabilities for figures like Mario Draghi or Matteo Renzi align with limited current institutional or party backing in a race shaped by coalition dynamics and voter turnout trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Giorgia Meloni 52%
Elly Schlein 14%
Giuseppe Conte 13%
西尔维娅·萨利斯 8.1%
$75,945 交易量
$75,945 交易量
Giorgia Meloni
52%
Elly Schlein
14%
Giuseppe Conte
13%
Antonio Tajani
<1%
Matteo Salvini
<1%
Guido Crosetto
<1%
Mario Draghi
2%
西尔维娅·萨利斯
8%
罗伯托·瓦纳奇
8%
马泰奥·伦齐
1%
安杰洛·博内利
<1%
卡洛·卡伦达
<1%
Giorgia Meloni 52%
Elly Schlein 14%
Giuseppe Conte 13%
西尔维娅·萨利斯 8.1%
$75,945 交易量
$75,945 交易量
Giorgia Meloni
52%
Elly Schlein
14%
Giuseppe Conte
13%
Antonio Tajani
<1%
Matteo Salvini
<1%
Guido Crosetto
<1%
Mario Draghi
2%
西尔维娅·萨利斯
8%
罗伯托·瓦纳奇
8%
马泰奥·伦齐
1%
安杰洛·博内利
<1%
卡洛·卡伦达
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Giorgia Meloni holds the leading 51.5% trader consensus for Italy's next prime minister due to her incumbency as head of the Brothers of Italy-led center-right coalition, which maintains a polling edge ahead of the 2027 general election. Recent setbacks, including the April 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reforms and a narrow July parliamentary loss on electoral amendments, have narrowed her advantage and boosted opposition momentum without derailing her position. Elly Schlein at 14% and Giuseppe Conte at 12.5% trail amid center-left fragmentation and efforts to unify behind a single challenger, while Silvia Salis at 8% gains visibility from her Genoa mayoral role as a potential unifier. Roberto Vannacci's 7.9% reflects his new party's far-right polling gains, and lower probabilities for figures like Mario Draghi or Matteo Renzi align with limited current institutional or party backing in a race shaped by coalition dynamics and voter turnout trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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