Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Next James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
Callum Turner 31%
No Bond chosen 24.1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 11.1%
Jacob Elordi 6.6%
$17,277 交易量
$17,277 交易量
Callum Turner
31%
No Bond chosen
24%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
11%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Tom Holland
3%
James Norton
22%
Harris Dickinson
22%
Josh O'Connor
17%
Tom Hardy
7%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Michael B Jordan
22%
Jack Lowdon
37%
Robert James-Collier
36%
Paul Mescal
32%
Pierce Brosnan
26%
Theo James
33%
Callum Turner 31%
No Bond chosen 24.1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 11.1%
Jacob Elordi 6.6%
$17,277 交易量
$17,277 交易量
Callum Turner
31%
No Bond chosen
24%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
11%
Jacob Elordi
11%
Tom Holland
3%
James Norton
22%
Harris Dickinson
22%
Josh O'Connor
17%
Tom Hardy
7%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Michael B Jordan
22%
Jack Lowdon
37%
Robert James-Collier
36%
Paul Mescal
32%
Pierce Brosnan
26%
Theo James
33%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题