Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus have anchored overnight low temperatures in New York City for September 2 in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, producing closely matched market-implied odds across the 68-71°F outcomes. Differentiating factors center on the precise timing and strength of any weak frontal passage, which controls cold-air advection, alongside variations in cloud cover that alter nocturnal longwave radiative cooling and local wind speeds that influence boundary-layer mixing. High uncertainty persists from model spread on humidity and urban heat-island effects, with fresh NWS guidance expected within hours that could refine probabilities if stronger cooling or warmer return flow develops.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日纽约市的最低温度？
9月2日纽约市的最低温度？
70-71°F 52%
72-73°F 38%
68-69°F 32%
64-65°F 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
63华氏度或以下
10%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
52%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82°F或更高
3%
70-71°F 52%
72-73°F 38%
68-69°F 32%
64-65°F 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
63华氏度或以下
$27 交易量
10%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
25%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
18%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
32%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
52%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
38%
74-75°F
$15 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$5 交易量
19%
78-79°F
$45 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$25 交易量
2%
82°F或更高
$88 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus have anchored overnight low temperatures in New York City for September 2 in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, producing closely matched market-implied odds across the 68-71°F outcomes. Differentiating factors center on the precise timing and strength of any weak frontal passage, which controls cold-air advection, alongside variations in cloud cover that alter nocturnal longwave radiative cooling and local wind speeds that influence boundary-layer mixing. High uncertainty persists from model spread on humidity and urban heat-island effects, with fresh NWS guidance expected within hours that could refine probabilities if stronger cooling or warmer return flow develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$205结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus have anchored overnight low temperatures in New York City for September 2 in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, producing closely matched market-implied odds across the 68-71°F outcomes. Differentiating factors center on the precise timing and strength of any weak frontal passage, which controls cold-air advection, alongside variations in cloud cover that alter nocturnal longwave radiative cooling and local wind speeds that influence boundary-layer mixing. High uncertainty persists from model spread on humidity and urban heat-island effects, with fresh NWS guidance expected within hours that could refine probabilities if stronger cooling or warmer return flow develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$205结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus have anchored overnight low temperatures in New York City for September 2 in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, producing closely matched market-implied odds across the 68-71°F outcomes. Differentiating factors center on the precise timing and strength of any weak frontal passage, which controls cold-air advection, alongside variations in cloud cover that alter nocturnal longwave radiative cooling and local wind speeds that influence boundary-layer mixing. High uncertainty persists from model spread on humidity and urban heat-island effects, with fresh NWS guidance expected within hours that could refine probabilities if stronger cooling or warmer return flow develops.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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