Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 1, driven by persistent humid conditions under a broad low-pressure trough and light northeast monsoon flow, with dew points remaining elevated around 24–25°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where mean minimum temperatures average 26–27°C amid typical cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear skies expected to push readings lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as final observational data from the Observatory are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日香港最低气温?
26°C 61%
25°C 11%
27°C 8.0%
22°C or below 3.6%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
21%
26°C
61%
27°C
22%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 61%
25°C 11%
27°C 8.0%
22°C or below 3.6%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
21%
26°C
61%
27°C
22%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 1, driven by persistent humid conditions under a broad low-pressure trough and light northeast monsoon flow, with dew points remaining elevated around 24–25°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where mean minimum temperatures average 26–27°C amid typical cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear skies expected to push readings lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as final observational data from the Observatory are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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