Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a lowest temperature of 24–25°C in Guangzhou on September 8, driven by high humidity, variable cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the subtropical environment. Persistent moisture from the South China Sea and recent scattered showers have maintained elevated dew points near 24–26°C, moderating overnight drops compared to drier historical analogs. Trader consensus around these levels reflects model agreement on stable steering patterns without strong cold-air intrusions, while the notable probability on 20°C or below captures tail risks from unexpected clearer skies or model shifts in the final 48 hours. Upcoming NMC or ECMWF updates will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日广州最低气温?
20°C或以下 59%
23°C 49%
25°C 31%
24°C 27%
20°C或以下
59%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
31%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
12%
29°C
24%
30°C或更高
1%
20°C或以下 59%
23°C 49%
25°C 31%
24°C 27%
20°C或以下
59%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
31%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
12%
29°C
24%
30°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a lowest temperature of 24–25°C in Guangzhou on September 8, driven by high humidity, variable cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the subtropical environment. Persistent moisture from the South China Sea and recent scattered showers have maintained elevated dew points near 24–26°C, moderating overnight drops compared to drier historical analogs. Trader consensus around these levels reflects model agreement on stable steering patterns without strong cold-air intrusions, while the notable probability on 20°C or below captures tail risks from unexpected clearer skies or model shifts in the final 48 hours. Upcoming NMC or ECMWF updates will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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