Trader sentiment for the minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 12 reflects high uncertainty, with roughly equal implied probabilities on extremes below 18°C or at or above 28°C. Short-range models show disagreement on whether a weak cold front or northerly flow will deliver cooler air masses and clearer skies for stronger nocturnal radiational cooling, or if subtropical high pressure maintains warmer, more humid conditions with limited overnight drops. Persistent northeast winds and scattered convection could further moderate lows through mixing or cloud cover, while historical September analogs indicate typical minima near 24–26°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and next global model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the dominant pattern before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日广州最低气温？
9月12日广州最低气温？
28°C或更高 87%
18°C或以下 82%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
18°C或以下
82%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
30%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C或更高
87%
28°C或更高 87%
18°C或以下 82%
19°C 39%
20°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
82%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
22%
23°C
$0 交易量
22%
24°C
$0 交易量
30%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$0 交易量
39%
27°C
$0 交易量
39%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 12 reflects high uncertainty, with roughly equal implied probabilities on extremes below 18°C or at or above 28°C. Short-range models show disagreement on whether a weak cold front or northerly flow will deliver cooler air masses and clearer skies for stronger nocturnal radiational cooling, or if subtropical high pressure maintains warmer, more humid conditions with limited overnight drops. Persistent northeast winds and scattered convection could further moderate lows through mixing or cloud cover, while historical September analogs indicate typical minima near 24–26°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and next global model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the dominant pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 12 reflects high uncertainty, with roughly equal implied probabilities on extremes below 18°C or at or above 28°C. Short-range models show disagreement on whether a weak cold front or northerly flow will deliver cooler air masses and clearer skies for stronger nocturnal radiational cooling, or if subtropical high pressure maintains warmer, more humid conditions with limited overnight drops. Persistent northeast winds and scattered convection could further moderate lows through mixing or cloud cover, while historical September analogs indicate typical minima near 24–26°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and next global model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the dominant pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader sentiment for the minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 12 reflects high uncertainty, with roughly equal implied probabilities on extremes below 18°C or at or above 28°C. Short-range models show disagreement on whether a weak cold front or northerly flow will deliver cooler air masses and clearer skies for stronger nocturnal radiational cooling, or if subtropical high pressure maintains warmer, more humid conditions with limited overnight drops. Persistent northeast winds and scattered convection could further moderate lows through mixing or cloud cover, while historical September analogs indicate typical minima near 24–26°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and next global model cycles over the next 48 hours will likely clarify the dominant pattern before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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