Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 48% of the vote after receiving President Trump’s endorsement, while Lt. Gov. Jay Collins finished second at about 25%. James Fishback placed third with approximately 10.5% amid a crowded field that included Paul Renner. Polling throughout the cycle consistently showed Fishback in the low-to-mid teens at best, constrained by lower name recognition among primary voters, limited fundraising compared to top contenders, and party distancing tied to controversial campaign rhetoric. The market’s heavy weighting on the 10–15% bracket aligns with these certified results. Late shifts in turnout or consolidation among undecided voters represented the primary variables that could have altered the final share.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于菲什巴克 10–15% 98.8%
菲什巴克 25–30% 1.1%
菲什巴克低于10% 1.0%
菲什巴克30%+ <1%
$354,635 交易量
$354,635 交易量
2026-08-18
菲什巴克低于10%
1%
菲什巴克 10–15%
99%
菲什巴克15–20%
<1%
菲什巴克 20–25%
<1%
菲什巴克 25–30%
1%
菲什巴克30%+
<1%
菲什巴克 10–15% 98.8%
菲什巴克 25–30% 1.1%
菲什巴克低于10% 1.0%
菲什巴克30%+ <1%
$354,635 交易量
$354,635 交易量
2026-08-18
菲什巴克低于10%
$259,928 交易量
1%
菲什巴克 10–15%
$24,496 交易量
99%
菲什巴克15–20%
$13,551 交易量
<1%
菲什巴克 20–25%
$17,597 交易量
<1%
菲什巴克 25–30%
$10,466 交易量
1%
菲什巴克30%+
$28,599 交易量
<1%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 48% of the vote after receiving President Trump’s endorsement, while Lt. Gov. Jay Collins finished second at about 25%. James Fishback placed third with approximately 10.5% amid a crowded field that included Paul Renner. Polling throughout the cycle consistently showed Fishback in the low-to-mid teens at best, constrained by lower name recognition among primary voters, limited fundraising compared to top contenders, and party distancing tied to controversial campaign rhetoric. The market’s heavy weighting on the 10–15% bracket aligns with these certified results. Late shifts in turnout or consolidation among undecided voters represented the primary variables that could have altered the final share.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$354,635结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 48% of the vote after receiving President Trump’s endorsement, while Lt. Gov. Jay Collins finished second at about 25%. James Fishback placed third with approximately 10.5% amid a crowded field that included Paul Renner. Polling throughout the cycle consistently showed Fishback in the low-to-mid teens at best, constrained by lower name recognition among primary voters, limited fundraising compared to top contenders, and party distancing tied to controversial campaign rhetoric. The market’s heavy weighting on the 10–15% bracket aligns with these certified results. Late shifts in turnout or consolidation among undecided voters represented the primary variables that could have altered the final share.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$354,635结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 48% of the vote after receiving President Trump’s endorsement, while Lt. Gov. Jay Collins finished second at about 25%. James Fishback placed third with approximately 10.5% amid a crowded field that included Paul Renner. Polling throughout the cycle consistently showed Fishback in the low-to-mid teens at best, constrained by lower name recognition among primary voters, limited fundraising compared to top contenders, and party distancing tied to controversial campaign rhetoric. The market’s heavy weighting on the 10–15% bracket aligns with these certified results. Late shifts in turnout or consolidation among undecided voters represented the primary variables that could have altered the final share.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题